SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Fidelity Select Sector funds -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dennis who wrote (3243)12/30/2000 1:26:08 PM
From: Jim Battaglia  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4916
 
Dennis my Winner model does a good job of picking
the funds needed to make money in the market. Up
over 60% annulized return per year since Dec 98.

Syst=WINNERYR Buy MovAvg=NONE RUBE Off=0.04 Acctrk= 8/ 32 INI Buy=FALSE
Fam=TIMER Sell MovAvg=NONE RUBE Acc=0.0006 Slope= 0/Pos MMonMIN=FALSE
SigFile=T17 Buy Para=NONE Wild Acc=0.04 Shrt MovAv= 10 MMonSlope=FALSE
Sell All=FALSE Sell Para=NONE Use Fnd Parm=FALSE Lng MovAv= 50 IgnMMRnk=FALSE
Buy Rank= 10 Hold Fnd Min=TRUE Min Hold Days= 31 MaFilt=0.
Sell Rank= 10/S Hold MM Min=FALSE Sh Term Pen=0.75%

## Max Cur Sig Trade Cal Buy Current % $ # Next
## Fund Rnk Rnk SLPRW Date Dys Price Price G/L Value Trd Trade
-- ----- --- --- ----- -------- --- ------- ------- ------ ------- --- -----
1 FSVLX 1 1 NNNNN 09/28/00 85 46.35 54.13 16.8 27192 13

Money Mkt= FDCPX Start Value= 10000 12/31/98 Total Trades= 13
MM Rank= 13 of 13 Total Value= 27192 12/22/00 Num Wins= 9(69.2%)
Sig File= BUY Max Value= 27192 12/22/00 Tr/Pos/Yr= 6.6
Trd Days= 500 Curr DrwDwn= 0.0% 12/22/00 Ann Gain= 65.8%
Cal Days= 722 Max DrwDwn= 25.7% 04/17/00 Ulcer Index= 9.0%

History of Results

Trd Pos Fund Buy On Sell On ClDys %G/L SellCde
--- --- ----- -------- -------- ----- ------- -------
1 1 FDCPX 12/31/98 01/08/99 8 6.0% R
2 1 FSELX 01/08/99 02/11/99 34 3.6% M
3 1 FDCPX 02/11/99 04/20/99 68 (2.7%) R
4 1 FSESX 04/20/99 06/25/99 66 3.7% M
5 1 FSELX 06/25/99 08/27/99 63 15.7% M
6 1 FDCPX 08/27/99 09/01/99 5 0.0% R
7 1 FSELX 09/01/99 11/26/99 86 22.4% M
8 1 FSCSX 11/26/99 01/18/00 53 19.0% M
9 1 FSELX 01/18/00 04/13/00 86 12.6% R
10 1 FSPCX 04/13/00 06/12/00 60 10.6% M
11 1 FSELX 06/12/00 07/24/00 42 (0.4%) M
12 1 FSLBX 07/24/00 08/28/00 35 7.1% M

JR
@@

investnbest.netmegs.com



To: Dennis who wrote (3243)12/30/2000 3:37:51 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4916
 
I look under the rocks, as I know what is in the rear
view mirror is most often a lie..
Message 15101220



To: Dennis who wrote (3243)12/31/2000 8:20:00 AM
From: Julius Wong  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4916
 
Dennis:

>> the problem is we are always looking in the rear view mirror and then beating ourselves up over the fact that we didn't catch the top 4 or whatever ......

You had the top fund, FSNGX, see #3229.

Julius



To: Dennis who wrote (3243)12/31/2000 11:57:39 AM
From: seminole  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4916
 
Dennis

Not that I know what I am talking about but these are the assumptions I am operating under.

Looking forward I see a weaker economy.
I see the Fed lowering rates.
I see a rally in January leading up to the Fed cut.
I see the $dollar getting weaker with the economy.
I see people and the market figuring out the economy is still getting weaker in March and April even with the rate cuts.
I see a 3-4 month debate about recession or soft landing.
I see a retest of the lows before midyear.
I see the market doing well by the end of the year.

I am averaging out of FSESX and FBIOX and into FSAGX and FGMNX. I need to see the economy prove this is a soft landing and or I need to see a testing of the recent lows in the NASDAQ before I jump back in Techs/Biotechs.