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To: Monty Lenard who wrote (45567)12/30/2000 7:59:53 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
Monty; Thanx, & Take this with a grain of salt..
The Dow didn't work out as bad as it looked like it would
while it's not good still not the disaster I first
thought also this is just ball park for the year.
It would be better if I did it on 200 trading days.
It just came to me why the 200DMA is watched so
much ( as ball park on major stocks that's about
how long it takes to roll 50% of the float. )
any way for what it's worth for the yr
the Dow looks like this
See the Bottom
Loss GAIN
loss shrs Rposition gain shrs Rposition
msft -63% 5.33 -3.3579 c 27% 4.49 1.2123
intc -25% 6.73 -1.6825 xom 9% 3.45 0.301875
ge -4% 9.91 -0.3964 ko 9% 2.48 0.2232
wmt -22% 4.47 -0.9834 mo 110% 2.22 2.442
t -66% 3.75 -2.475 mrk 43% 2.31 0.9933
dis -3% 2.08 -0.0624 jnj 16% 1.39 0.2224
ibm -26% 1.75 -0.455 axp 10% 1.33 0.133
hwp -38% 1.98 -0.7524 ba 65% 0.888 0.5772
mcd -15% 1.31 -0.1965 utx 30% 0.468 0.1404
pg -27% 1.3 -0.351 mmm 20% 0.394 0.0788
dd -30% 1.04 -0.312 jpm 25% 0.16 0.04
aa -16% 0.865 -0.1384 cat even 0.343 0
hon -14% 0.797 -0.11158 sbc even 3.38 0
gm -28% 0.565 -0.1582 23.303 6.364475
ip -20% 0.481 -0.0962
ek -33% 0.3002 -0.099066
42.6582 -11.627946

Dow 11500 10786 DOWN 6.21%
Totals shares reltiv over priced 1.771%
real 65.9612 -5.263471 DOWN 7.98% ----------------
In other words If you owned all the DOW shares you
would be down 7.98% for the year;
instead of the 6.21% the index shows.
Now I have to do a 200 day..
as when & IF that pops positive per total shares
then we will likely head up.

For all I know at this time the 200dma may be worse or
better than the above.
Jim
-------------
You do see what I'm doing by using percentage gain/loss
on the amount of shares rather than.
on Market cap..?
( My way is like IF you owned all the shares of every thing.
in the index )
The way the "sales men" jiggle the indexes
to dress things up should be against the
Law..damm the market is sooo dishonest..
Jim