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Strategies & Market Trends : Trend Setters and Range Riders -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Connor26 who wrote (902)1/1/2001 2:35:36 PM
From: Susan G  Respond to of 5732
 
if this is true,what happened to BEAS?

Although I know this stock better than any other, it still catches me off guard occasionally and bites me in the butt <g> I was not paying close attention friday afternoon and was holding 100 shares in my trading account without a stop. Yea, I know <ggg> I do have a stop on my IRA position, but it's loose. very!

I have several theories on what caused it's tank into the close, take your pick : )

It was overbought and very weary after a few good up days, we know this stock goes up a few days in a row and then usually gives it all back - rarely holding up for a third day in a row. At least we should know by now <g>
Seems it never consolidates or bases anymore, it's much more volatile than it used to be now that the trading volume has doubled and it's "hot".

There will no real buyers as it tired out, the shorts could see the weakness and dropping money flow and took advantage of it. Also, a break of the 72 support which held from 10 am to 3 pm was a big break, TA support as well as psychological, as everyone and his brother ((except me LOL) had a stop right under 72.

Classic "ernmor" trap (from T's EMA setup) at the open was a bad way to start the day, that's the first engulfing bearish candle at the open, and then it hit another trap at 3 pm.
home.earthlink.net

The last minute tank provided a last minute unexpected loss for 2000 for some and a few took advantage of that and sold? Could be part of it. Some poor soul bought those spikes to almost 90 in October at the top.

The real reason IMO: It couldn't break the downtrend line when it got close at its high of 77 15/16 Thursday. Also if you look at this chart, Monday through Friday looks like a rising wedge - which is bearish (the bright blue lines). A rising wedge or a bear flag up to a downtrend line is pretty deadly...
home.earthlink.net

The downtrend line also hit right where the neckline is on the reverse head and shoulders pattern it was building. You could now call it a FAILED reverse head and shoulders pattern....
home.earthlink.net

So you put a bunch of negative TA thingies going on all at once and it's sayonara! But we all know it could be proven meaningless tomorrow as this stock truly beats to its own drum. Gotta be why I love it so much LOLOL.

And the good news is the price is down, it's short term oversold, offering an opportunity for us to ride it up all over again! And then down, and up...and down and up <g>

My opinion stands, this is one of the gorillas of 2001 : )



To: Connor26 who wrote (902)1/1/2001 4:08:30 PM
From: Susan G  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5732
 
now this is an awesome idea

Subject 50522



To: Connor26 who wrote (902)1/1/2001 6:52:20 PM
From: Susan G  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5732
 
FWIW, Dennis McKechnie, of Pimco Global, supposedly (according to cnbc) the top Performing Tech Fund Manager this year picked BEA Systems as his number one pick for the coming year, mentioned today on the CNBC stock picking segment. He said the only thing holding this stock down is the Nasdaq. Guess he reads this thread <g.

Suzie Orman is on now, so I'm turning it off RIGHT NOW, LOL.

Time to watch Gladiator <g>