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To: Amy J who wrote (124255)1/5/2001 10:48:03 AM
From: Tony Viola  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Amy, >If your one-data point extrapolation to the entire retail base is correct, this may not bode well for Intel's Q4 earnings (assuming laptop chip margins are thinner than PC desktop chip margins).

Laptop chips may be thinner than desktop chips, but I think the margins are better for the laptop ones. Someone correct me if I'm wrong.

Tony



To: Amy J who wrote (124255)1/5/2001 11:30:03 AM
From: semiconeng  Respond to of 186894
 
If your one-data point extrapolation to the entire retail base is correct, this may not bode well for Intel's Q4 earnings (assuming laptop chip margins are thinner than PC desktop chip margins).

---Yes, ASSUMING that. Fortunately, mobile chip margins are about the same as desktop chip margins. They cost about the same to make. The point is, Laptop sales are growing, desktop sales are flat. We have PLENTY of Mobile chips available, all anybody wants.

If your extrapolation is correct, then let's hope Intel hastily pulled out some magic to reduce cogs in the face of (your implied, not Intel implied) unexpectedly sharp, accelerating product shift to laptops.

---Since Laptops top out @ 800MHz P3/Celeron/Geyservile, which intel has plenty of, No magic is required.

Your post would also imply Paul O's projection on market dynamics was inaccurate.

Regards,
Amy J


Allot of things change in 2 months, and I would expect that Paul O. gets his laptop dynamic sales data from laptop manufacturers buying orders. You say "Innacurate", I say "Outdated". "Dynamic" IS the key word. 2 month old presentations, are not dynamic.

Semi