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To: JRI who wrote (40080)	1/5/2001 11:17:46 AM
From: Stephen	Respond to of 42787

JRI, two things have made me cautious about tech 'investing' recently. Firstly, techs are cyclical - everyone's starting to remember that now. I think that cycle may have been ending 3 years ago, but the advent of the internet extended it. Also, historically, each of the last 4 decades has had a new sector leader ... oil (everyone needs oil ... what a sure bet), pharms (the populas aging etc), basics/cyclical (coke will be selling to new markets like Russia & China)... or some such ramblings at the time. This always occurs at the beginning of the decade and fades out at the close. 1990 - 2000 tech was clearly the leader ... but history suggests something else may well lead for 2001 - 2010. I'm sure someone else who has been in the markets longer than me can expand on the matter far better. Regards Stephen