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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Square_Dealings who wrote (66161)1/7/2001 12:30:21 PM
From: Whiteboy  Respond to of 99985
 
Right on the money,
Until INTC,ORCL,MSFT and CSCO put THEIR money were their stock is, why should I?
Correct me if I am wrong but wasn't it IBM who really turned the markets around in 98 when it announced its buyback?
Whiteboy



To: Square_Dealings who wrote (66161)1/7/2001 2:14:31 PM
From: jmootx  Respond to of 99985
 
I agree and have written about this as well. The deal with this bubble unlike the 1920's is this is a supply side bubble. As you mention about CSCO (and reported by Barrons) that these companies aren't really worth anything in terms of earnings if options are priced as an expense. In the 1920's it was a demand side bubble, where banks lent money for stock investment at 10 cents on the dollar collateral.

Well the bubble is popped, I really doubt tech stocks will see those valuations again. And now that CSCO had its first losing year ever...plan on lots of insiders who were part of that merger strategy to dump dump dump. And as the stock declines, so goes the merger strategy.



To: Square_Dealings who wrote (66161)1/8/2001 8:23:25 AM
From: Casaubon  Respond to of 99985
 
the only value a stock option has on the grant date is a time value premium. Most options are granted at the price the stock is trading at the day of the grant. They therefore have zero intrinsic value. They only have intrinic value if investors are willing to pay the higher prices for the stock. The time value of the option is not insignificant though because they have such long lifespans (ten years is common).