Barrett, Gates describe a PC-centric future
By Patrick Mannion EE Times (01/06/01, 10:27 p.m. EST)
LAS VEGAS — Rumors of the PC's demise in the new era of mobile connectivity have been greatly exaggerated, according to keynotes given at the 2001 International Consumer Electronics Show by two of the high-tech industry's most visible leaders, Intel Corp. president and chief executive officer Craig Barrett and Microsoft Corp. president and chief software architect Bill Gates.
At the official launch of the show on Friday (Jan. 5), Barrett painted a picture of the PC as a central nervous system for a plethora of gadgets within a home connected via a wireless network. Then on Saturday (Jan. 6) morning, Gates extended the canvas to include the latest version of Windows 2000 operating system, code-named Whistler, as the OS that would ensure smooth interoperability and connectivity. Both Barrett and Gates pointed to three of the most significant enablers of their vision: the move to all things digital; broadband connections to the home; and wireless networking.
In addition, Gates used his keynote an an opportunity to unveil Xbox, Microsoft's official entry into the video gaming arena, where it plans to compete head-to-head with Nintendo, Sony, Sega, and Game Boys in a market Gates estimated as equal in size to the motion picture industry.
Each speaker addressed a standing-room only auditorium at a conference that contains over 110,000 attendees and exhibits sprawled over 1.2 million square feet. With a roughly 10 percent increase in size over last year's CES, this year's conference is the largest in the show's history.
Product and technology demonstrations will be given by more than 1,800 exhibitors over the show's four-day run, which extends to Tuesday, with such key technologies on display as digital audio and video, wireless communications, home networking, broadband access, mobile electronics, satellite radio, content delivery systems and, of course, the Internet.
During his introductory summation of the consumer-electronics industry, Gary Shapiro, president and chief executive officer of the Consumer Electronics Association, valued the consumer electronics industry at approximately $93 billion in 2000, or 10 percent larger than in fiscal 1999. Shapiro also baptized this year's show as "The Source for Workstyle and Lifestyle Technology."
Despite the abundance of alternative technologies present at the show, Barrett said he sees "a bright future" for the PC, based on the premise that a PC armed with an Intel Pentium 4 processor could serve as the master controller, processor, and central storage point for a wired or wirelessly connected home. From streaming audio directly to mobile assistants, to tablet PCs that will function as remote controls or as monitors for "tele-Webbing, a common thread through Barrett's address portrayed the Pentium 4, with its highly publicized extensions for multimedia processing, as an essential enabler.
Barrett's extended PC would traffic and store data in the form of video, photographs, audio or gaming, and would be the broadband hub that connects all peripherals to the Internet. "The Pentium 4 was designed for this, and that's our goal," Barrett said.
For his part, Gates underlined concept of the PC at the center of a tetherless, mobile communications environment. "Thanks to the power of the PC and the advances in hardware, software is now easier than ever to use," he said. "Text was the first computer-[aided] explosion, but communications will be the next," he said.
Broadband access will be an essential underlying technology to fulfill this vision, Gates said. "Dial-up is ok, but people want to share data, whether it be photos, video, audio or gaming, and they want to do it in real-time," Gates said.
If the PC to keep its place as the center of the networked home, Gates said that a number of developments must occur, especially with regard to the user interface. The interface "must be aware of which user is connected and be able to adapt to that user's work habits, whether it be in the home or in the office," he said.
Interface focus
The user interface is a major area of development within Microsoft, Gates said, and other work is being done to simplify the addition of peripherals by automatically downloading drivers and updates over the Internet. Other areas being addressed include handwriting recognition, readability, speech recognition, and such ease-of-use obstacles as passwords and personal data entry.
The importance of speech recognition was hammered home by a demonstration that used a Compaq iPAQ Pocket PC running WinCE. The device fluidly and accurately translated and parsed — in near real-time — a series of dictation examples by a demonstrator, much to the audience's amazement.
Acknowledging that much has been done to date, Gates looked to the future of the PC and cited areas of much-needed development. "We need more active personal assistants that can give me the information I need, and block the information I don't need — it has to be a more personal experience," he said.
Game break
Along with connectivity and media portability, Gates emphasized the importance of home gaming, and unveiled Xbox, Microsoft's official entry into the home-gaming arena.
Though technical specifications were unavailable, Gates said the Xbox "is driven by the results of many months spent with gamers and developers to find out their needs." Based on Intel and Nvidia processors, the Xbox features four gaming ports, USB connections, central up-front controls, rumble capability, 100-Mbit/second Ethernet connectivity, "and graphics-processing capability up to three times that of current systems out there today," Gates said. |