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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: lorne who wrote (62581)	1/8/2001 5:45:08 PM
From: Little Joe	Respond to of 116762

Interesting view from John Murphy on his web site. It is password protected and limited to subscribers so I will paraphrase his observations. Bond peaks lead recessions by an average of 27 months. Bonds peaked October 1998. Projects recession starting Jan. 2001 S&P Peaks leads recession by average of 9 months. Peaked March 2000 Projects recession starting December 2000. JOC Index (Commodity Index) peaks leads recessions by an average of 8 months. Two peaks were in March and September of 2000 Projects recession Nov. of 2000 through July 2001. Markets don't usually bottom until 1/2 through recession. Conclusion: Expect a rough first half.