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Biotech / Medical : Celgene-CELG -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: dalroi who wrote (488)1/10/2001 9:25:25 AM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 804
 
*Celgene pre-announces lower than expected T sales.
*Michael King finds current valuation compelling, lowering estimates going forward but believe news already priced into the stock.
Rating=BUY.
* CELGa preannounced 4Q:00 Thalomid sales and EPS numbers of $16.7 million
and $0.03, below Street estimates. Our estimates were $18.7 million and
$0.06 and Street consensus was $19.2 million and $0.05. CELG lowered 2001
Thalomid revenue guidance from a range of $100-$105 million to $92-$100
million.

* We are disappointed by these numbers. Thalomid prescriptions increased 11%,
but the average dose decreased 15%, offsetting the script trends.
** We believe the Thalomid and CELG franchises remain intact. We expect a
visible pipeline over the next several quarters with major publications or
presentations for Thalomid in the treatment of MDS, multiple myeloma (MM),
and colorectal cancer. We expect top-line Phase I/II results for the IMiDs
in the treatment of MM and top-line Phase II results for the SelCIDs in the
treatment of Crohn s disease in 2Q:01.
DAK