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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems-Trading Strong Earnings Growth and Momentum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jenna who wrote (1157)1/10/2001 8:14:55 AM
From: vagabond  Respond to of 6445
 
Reminder: Monday is "MLK Day," NAZ & NYSE are closed...eom



To: Jenna who wrote (1157)1/10/2001 8:18:41 AM
From: 2MAR$  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 6445
 
Networking Stocks : After the close, new analyst at CIBC World Markets resumed coverage of several networking stocks. Of note was the resumption of Cisco (CSCO) with a HOLD rating, down from previous BUY. Redback (RBAK) also started with a HOLD (vs former BUY). On a positive note, Juniper (JNPR) resumed with a STRONG BUY, one notch up from previous BUY rating (based on valuation).

MACROVISION <MVSN.O> SAYS TO RAISE 2001 EARNS/REVS ESTIMATES



To: Jenna who wrote (1157)1/10/2001 8:20:58 AM
From: Jenna  Respond to of 6445
 
IDPH..was a longer term "put" play let's see if the upgrade has any effect. We might be able to pick this one as an intermediate hold after another 20% or so haircut. It might be a chance for the January/February puts on some like JNPR, ITWO, ARBA, INFY, etc. This is an important few weeks for earnings and those triple digit P/E stocks might not have the mettle to go through this unscathed. INFY was on our screen as a possible put play but escaped 'the analysts axe' by just a day. There will be bargains out there, but we might have to wait a few weeks so we don't have to be IN them for more downside. I would wait for 2-3 days of rallies before going long and HOLDING.

We are building brand-new longer term portfolios, we've done this before after tech depressions but this is one of the worst so lets wait for a REAL bottom to set it and not get influenced by portfolio managers and their bargains just yet. It is in their interests that you buy, buy, buy. They won't make a salary or their 'numbers' if you exercise due diligence and caution. When I closed my equity portfolio at Fidelity Investments a number of months ago, I was questioned at length as to the veracity of that move. Although I am with Chase H&Q and Fidelity 10 years now and they have helped me well in bull markets, I still 'travel light' and have done so since the 'horror' of the internet sector and that close call with NTBK and currently have no longer term holdings at all in technology and only a handful in other sectors. Wait for the earnings season to be over. They say it will take 2-3 years for the tech sector to robound, why go through that when you can come into a freshly corrected market? When we first called the pending downfall, we were scoffed at but all those scoffers are gone now...

Absolutely no one has guessed the bottom so far, and buying boatloads now hastily will let you repent at leisure.
Downside risk is rising in other sectors as well. Still think some health care, pharmaceuticals and Reits will rebound first.

RBAK longer term short was closed last week might be time for a new put position as well. NTIQ long term put I would just leave through any upside, ignore it let it run. NTIQ could be another CFLO or ONIS. Its more difficult holding puts and shorts now more than 1 or two days because it looks like we might almost be bottoming so I would leave CFLO, TUTS and ONIS for a while and concentrate on the bigger P/E fish out there.