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To: foundation who wrote (91806)1/13/2001 7:47:49 AM
From: foundation  Respond to of 152472
 
China looks ahead to having Bush at helm of bilateral ties

(18 December 2000) Eight years is a long time.

The working relationship that China hammered out with the
United States during Bill Clinton’s two terms is now coming to
a close, and a new U.S. administration waits in the wings.

What should China expect from a second-generation Bush
administration?

According to Zhang Yuanyuan, a spokesperson at the
Chinese embassy in Washington, D.C., China expects to
cooperate with President-elect George W. Bush, his
administration and Congress to further strengthen bilateral
relations. Zhang's remarks, made at an embassy press
conference, appeared in the Dec. 15 Zhongguo Xinwen She
(China News Service).

He said that bilateral relations in the next few years will
continue to develop despite any new problems. Zhang added
that campaign promises are one-dimensional aspects of a
candidate and that what really matters is how the person acts
in office.

Observers in China similarly welcomed Bush’s Dec. 16
nomination of Gen. Colin Powell as secretary of state. In his
acceptance speech, Powell said the United States will work
"with those nations in the world that are transforming
themselves—nations such as China and Russia. We will work
with them not as potential enemies and not as adversaries,
not yet as strategic partners, but as nations that are seeking
their way."

Although Beijing has not reacted to Powell’s nomination,
according to the Dec. 18 South China Morning Post, Li
Zhaoxing, China’s ambassador to the United States, said he
was confident economic relations between China and the
United States would improve.

The Taiwan issue

In his remarks, Zhang stressed that Taiwan is the most
important issue concerning China-U.S. relations and hoped
that the United States will adhere to the "One China Policy."
He alluded to the three joint communiqués issued by China
and the United States between 1972 and 1982, and expects
that the new government will stick with the views expressed in
them.

Furthermore, Zhang also referred to the "three nos," in which
the United States has pledged not to support Taiwan
independence; not to support a "one China and one Taiwan"
scenario, or the so-called "two Chinas" approach; and not to
support Taiwan membership in any international organization
that would require acknowledging the island as a sovereign
state.

Tang Jiaxuan, China’s foreign minister, similarly said in
Beijing on Dec. 15 that he believes Bush will continue the
Clinton administration’s China policy. Both Democrats and
Republicans agreed upon the current policy, Tang said, and it
is important to maintain stability and continue the momentum
of bilateral relations. He expects that the new U.S.
administration will work together with the Chinese government
to carry out the intent of the already agreed upon joint
communiqués.

Tang also said that Taiwan is the most important issue in
China-U.S. relations, and recalled that the United States has
made explicit promises to the mainland regarding Taiwan.
Tang expressed his hope that the incoming administration will
keep these promises and will handle the Taiwan issue "in a
proper way" by supporting China's peaceful reunification.

This level of behavior by the United States, he said, is vital to
the development of bilateral relations and stability on the
Taiwan Strait.

A different take

Lu Qichang, a researcher at the China Institute of
Contemporary International Relations and an expert on the
United States, predicted that the Bush administration will
scrap Clinton’s vision of China as a "strategic partner" and
redefine the role as a "strategic competitor."

Lu, whose prediction appeared in the Dec. 15 Yangtze
Evening Post, believes that this new role will be the
foundation of the Bush administration's China policy.

Although this new plan of action presents an apparent
reversal of China policy, in the long run, he said, the
Republican administration might accomplish more good than
harm. Republicans represent big business and will therefore
want to strengthen trade and investments more than
Democrats want to, Lu noted.

Second, Republicans, who are perceived to be less
ideologically driven, could possibly drop democracy and
human rights complaints. And third, most members of the
young Bush administration are pragmatists who worked for
the previous Bush administration, Lu said.

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