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Technology Stocks : AT&T -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Maurice Winn who wrote (3975)1/13/2001 9:16:49 PM
From: Ian@SI  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4298
 
Positive story in Barron's on T...

interactive.wsj.com

JANUARY 15, 2001

BREAK-UP PLAY

AT&T is worth appreciably more than its current stock price of $24, based
on a break-up analysis by Merrill Lynch analyst Adam Quinton. He pegs the
company's value at over $33 a share. Opportunity?

Consumer Services

Estimated 2001 EBITDA (blns)
$5.2
EBITDA Multiple
2.5x
Consumer Services Value (blns)
$13.1
Value Per AT&T Share
$3.35
Business Services
Estimated 2001 EBITDA (blns)
$9.2
EBITDA Multiple
5.5x
Business Services Value (blns)
$50.8
Value Per AT&T Share
$12.99
AT&T Wireless
AT&T share holding (mlns)*
1,810
AT&T Wireless (AWE) price
$24.50
Wireless Value (blns)
$44.10
AWE Value Per AT&T Share
$11.30
AT&T Broadband
Estimated 2001 EBITDA (blns)
$3.0
EBITDA Multiple (blns)
15.0x
Broadband Value (blns)
$44.3
Value Per AT&T Share
$11.34



Other Assets &
Total
Value Per
Interests
Value (blns)
AT&T Share
Concert
$9.4
$2.41
Japan Telecom
0.6
0.17
Excite@Home Interest
0.6
0.17
AT&T Canada
0.8
0.19
Rogers Cantel
0.3
0.09
Comcast
5.1
1.30
Cablevision
4.1
1.05
AT&T Latin America
0.3
0.08
Vodafone
5.0
1.27
Time Warner Entertainment
11.3
2.89
Road Runner
0.5
0.13
Microsoft
1.8
0.47
Total Value of
Other Assets & Interests
$39.8
$10.22
Total Enterprise Value (blns)
$192.1
49.25
Less: Debt**
57.9
14.80
Equity Value (blns)
$134.2

Less: Liberty Media liability
0.8
0.20
Less: @Home liability
2.7
0.70
Adjusted Equity Value (blns)
$130.7

Sum-of-the-Parts
Value Per AT&T Share
33.55

*Excludes 178 million shares being sold to NTT DoCoMo
**Less $3.68 as a result of proceeds expected from the NTT DoCoMo
transaction.
Source: Merrill Lynch