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To: Tony Viola who wrote (125214)1/17/2001 11:24:17 AM
From: Andrew Shih  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
TV,

But on 0.13 micron, isn't the P4 still a lot bigger than
a P3 on 0.18 micron? Add in 300 mm, and costs for P4 may
start to approach P3. Basically, .13 micron and 300 mm are necessary for the P4 to be cost competitive. It's a good thing that Intel has lots of cash.

In a year's time, I suspect that Intel will go from around 83% marketshare down to around 75%. I just don't see the Celeron and P3 being all that competitive on the desktop in a year, and AMD should have grabbed a small percentage of the mobile market by then.

The key for Intel in 2001 will probably be the introduction of a SDRAM (or DDR) chipset for P4. Using SDRAM, the P4 is probably a LOT slower than w/ Rambus. DDR, however, should be a decent solution.

-Andrew