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Technology Stocks : JDS Uniphase (JDSU) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tunica Albuginea who wrote (16627)1/17/2001 1:17:49 PM
From: Nichols  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 24042
 
<<what is the investment rationale for these hedge funds to continue shorting what appears clearly now to be
an up market?>>

I think it still it extremely unclear whether we are still in a bear market or not. Today/last week/month of January could merely be one big headfake, and we might still be taken out in the woods and shot. Although I am bullish for the first time in about 9months, I wouldn't be shocked should we see new lows by summertime. Many unknowns out there. For example- oil. Whar happens when Sharon gets elected and the Palestians and Israel do battle? $50/barrel?



To: Tunica Albuginea who wrote (16627)1/17/2001 1:58:15 PM
From: luther yow  Respond to of 24042
 
Tunica,
It is not clear that this is an up market, right now it is a one day up turn, tomorrow if it holds it will be a two day upturn, When I pass breakeven, then I will quit being nervous.
Thanks for your opinions they are well thought out.

Luther



To: Tunica Albuginea who wrote (16627)1/17/2001 2:02:41 PM
From: t2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24042
 
After all the good news on opticals that have been out for the
last year , especially now ( AMCC exploding during an alleged
recession etc ), what is the investment rationale for these
hedge funds to continue shorting what appears clearly now to be
an up market?


TA, I believe we will see short covering and going long on the market. Hedge funds are in it for the money and if they see a turning point (AMCC, JNPR), they won't want to hope the market comes down. Might as well go with the flow.
Short interest on high PE stocks went up even in December as the bet was that economic slowdown will eat into the PEs of AMCC, JNPR, JDSU, CIEN, PMCS, VTSS etc. Logical trade. However, if they extend the news yesterday to the companies that have not reported, there will be a rush to cover and go long certain tech sectors. Intel's news for the semiconductor stocks (although Intel itself is not doing well) has an incredible effect. If Intel accounts for 15% of the equipment makers revenue, the increase in their capital spending is significant or at the very least may also represent an inflection point for this sector. NVLS was positive, which certainly helps.

Of course we are going to get all kinds of rumors to try to push the stocks down. You can bet on that.
It seems too late for this to work,IMHO.
I am hoping for another opportunity to buy more tech stocks.