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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: im a survivor who wrote (29452)1/17/2001 5:32:45 PM
From: Sully-  Respond to of 65232
 
Talk about manipulation????? Revenues came in ABOVE average estimates...... but that didn't stop ANALysts who had slightly higher estimates from being disappointed????

Extreme Networks 2nd-Qtr Net Rises 27%; Shares Fall (Update1)
1/17/01 1:54:00 PM
Source: Bloomberg News
URL: cnetinvestor.com
(Adds analyst comment starting in fourth paragraph; updates share activity.)

Santa Clara, California, Jan. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Extreme Networks Inc., a maker of computer-network switches, said fiscal second-quarter net income rose 27 percent. Sales and profit excluding certain items lagged some forecasts, sending the shares down as much as 18 percent in after-hours trading.

Net income rose to $8.06 million, or 7 cents a share, from $6.36 million, or 6 cents, a year earlier, the company said in a statement. Excluding costs for goodwill and intangibles, profit would have been $12.6 million, or 11 cents a share. Revenue in the period ended Dec. 31 climbed to $144.7 million from $55.0 million.

Investors have been concerned that the slowing economy and sales of telecommunications gear could affect Extreme, especially since Foundry Networks Inc., considered Extreme's closest rival, said last month that it would miss profit targets. Extreme shares have dropped 63 percent from a record $128.88 in October.

''They were a little bit light on the sales side,'' said SG Cowen analyst Christin Armacost, who had forecast revenue of $145.9 million. She rates Extreme stock a ''neutral.''

Excluding the goodwill and intangible expenses, the Santa Clara, California-based company was expected to earn 11 cents a share, the average estimate of analysts polled by First Call/Thomson Financial. Extreme was forecast to report revenue of $143.2 million, the average estimate of five analysts surveyed by IBES International Inc.

Looking to Beat Estimate

J.P. Morgan H&Q analyst Erik Suppiger said some analysts and investors expected Extreme to beat the First Call estimate by a penny a share. Suppiger, who rates Extreme a ''buy,'' said the company met his forecast of 11 cents a share.

Extreme shares today rose $4.69 to $47.88 on the Nasdaq Stock Market. They dropped as low as $39.06 in after-hours trading following the earnings report.

Armacost said investors may also be concerned that Extreme will give a disappointing forecast on its conference call today because the company didn't have any financial targets in its press release.

(A conference call will be held on Jan. 17 at 5 p.m. New York time. The dial-in number is 800-895-7761 and a webcast and replay will be available at extremenetworks.com.)

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To: im a survivor who wrote (29452)1/17/2001 5:33:35 PM
From: Uncle Frank  Respond to of 65232
 
>> thought about the low float and how that alone makes it an easy stock to manipulate....

Blaming every dip on manipulation isn't very productive. Sometimes there is some logic at work. Here's what The Street.com makes out of it.

Extreme Networks Passes Estimates, but Raises Growth
Concerns
By Scott Moritz
Senior Writer
1/17/01 4:54 PM ET

Extreme Networks (EXTR:Nasdaq - news) met Wall Street's earnings
expectations Wednesday, but only slightly exceeded the consensus revenue
figure, raising major concerns about the company's continued accelerated
growth.

The networking gear maker said fiscal second-quarter earnings excluding
certain items were 11 cents a share, dead even with the consensus estimate
according to First Call/Thompson Financial. Fiscal second-quarter revenue
rose 21% over first-quarter levels, to $144.7 million, and 163% over year-ago
revenue of $55 million. Analysts had expected revenue of $142.3 million.

Extreme shares dropped as much as 20% to $40 in after-hours trading shortly
after the release. During regular trading, Extreme was up $4.69, or 10%, to
$47.87.

Extreme sells Net switches and gigabit Ethernet devices to corporations and
telecommunications service companies. These boxes are data
communications gear that carry Internet traffic and connect with other
computer systems. The networking industry is witnessing a slowdown in
spending as corporate and telecommunications companies begin to conserve
cash and pull back spending on new equipment.

The company is expected to give guidance on the outlook for its business
next quarter and the remainder of the year on a conference call with analysts
Wednesday evening.

Among the concerns going into the call is how well Extreme managed to
decrease its inventory from the fiscal first quarter, when inventory more than
doubled to $59 million from $24 million in the pervious quarter. This stockpiling
was common among several networking outfits as they braced for increased
demand.

More than half of Extreme's inventory buildup was finished products as
opposed to raw materials, suggesting demand wasn't quite as strong for the
switching gear as expected.

thestreet.com

Sounds like the key will be in the forward guidance offered during the conference call. Logical..

uf