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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Doug who wrote (67189)1/18/2001 9:12:02 PM
From: Doug  Respond to of 99985
 
This market upleg is following a close replica of the rise from the 98 bear. That upturn was corrected by a sharp drop of the Interest rates. Once interest rates were dropped, risk was totally forgotten and the market resumed . This time we have a combo at work; an obliging A.G for rates and Investment houses who reduce earnings by 50% and more but maintain upgrades.

The 98 pattern replica can only break down if A.G or the Investment houses change for the worse..



To: Doug who wrote (67189)1/18/2001 9:16:06 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Respond to of 99985
 
Yep, that is the sad part, no way you can make an educated investment, just trade or get lucky .......... I do not like it.

If you place stops they take you out if you try to place a limit order they hold off or do not fill you or fill you wen the market moves the other way.

Sentiment, liquidity and momentum rules and no way to know wen it will turn, only to try to guess or realize next morning that the game is up (in both directions)

Haim



To: Doug who wrote (67189)1/19/2001 5:43:29 AM
From: craig crawford  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
>> here are no fundamentals to support these moves. <<

Stock prices look forward 6-9 months ahead. They don't care about the bad fundamentals right now. They look ahead and they see lower rates and lots of liquidity thanks to Mr Greenspam.