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To: AllansAlias who wrote (60164)1/21/2001 10:59:28 AM
From: UnBelievable  Respond to of 436258
 
Real Men Only Use Semi-Log

The uselessness of linear charting is clearly seen on your long term INDU chart. If this were a meaningful representation it would be difficult not to conclude that bubble really started in 1985, accelerated into Clinton's second election campaign when it really began a moonshot. Clearly a ridiculous idea. <gg>

Using that Chart Luc's expectations are foolishly bullish and $INDU 2000 seems a realistic target for the correction.

I don't know how I feel about your posting these charts on the thread. They are so clear and clearly explained that before you know it the thread will become a bunch of chart chasing fools and there goes our competitive advantage. <gg>



To: AllansAlias who wrote (60164)1/21/2001 11:02:08 AM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 436258
 
ho ho... charts RULE -g-



To: AllansAlias who wrote (60164)1/21/2001 12:34:33 PM
From: Perspective  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Nice charts, as usual. I was looking at the same thing myself, as you probably guessed. I think Friday was probably just a pause. I've concluded that this is a large, intermediate-term bear market rally based on the evidence, and it would be logical for it to have the strength to pierce the Sep 1 TL before it wraps up. It doesn't have to interact with THE bear market downtrend line to launch the next leg down; I think there's plenty of resistance to turn it away before it gets there. But I don't consider this Sep 1 TL strong enough to hold things back here.

Of course, trade it as you see fit. It's an excellent trade setup regardless. Nicely defined entry and stop-loss points. It's just that you and I both had been expecting a significant bear market rally, and despite the fundamentals making me expect it a little later, it arrived when the technical conditions permitted it. While we are now certainly back into overbought territory on shorter timeframes, the peek into the weekly rear-view shows how little this bounce has really done.

Again, I've made plenty in the past few years. I merely want to preserve it, maybe grow it at traditional low double-digit rates over the next few years. I'm looking for the no-brainer entries, and I don't know that this is one. My patience and lack of greed are quite useful, makes me kinda like a cat - willing to sit still for endless hours, waiting for the bird to make that *one* dumb move, then WHAMMO!

Come a little lower, birdie...

BC



To: AllansAlias who wrote (60164)1/21/2001 7:58:15 PM
From: John Madarasz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Cool charts...again<gg>

Thanks.

Good trading in the days and weeks ahead... those cycles Heinz has been talking about loom large<gg>

and then there's always this...

sandspring.com

Regards,

John

(still waiting for my favorite ntap to fill that glorious gap it so defiantly sports... got 50 DMA?)<ggg>