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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (61367)1/24/2001 5:21:57 PM
From: Activatecard  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
From Bonds Online:

Investment Strategy Focus

Watch That Basket

Question: What do these companies have in common?

-Imperial Sugar
-Chiquita Bananas
-Armstrong Flooring
-Owens Fiberglass
-TWA
-Montgomery Wards
-Southern California Edison

In addition to being household names they have one other thing in common. They
have all recently defaulted on bond payments and in many cases have filed for
Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

With the advent of electronic trading we have seen a dramatic increase in individuals
taking control of their investments and finances. I am sure that after last year many of
those investors have come face to face with the reality of market volatility and the
uncertainty of what the future will bring in regards to their portfolios. Many investors
are at this time wondering about their asset allocation model and its effectiveness.
They might be contemplating a shift in asset allocation that would help in insulating
them from dramatic equity price swings in the future. Of course this could come at
the expense of performance and just might be thing not to do at this time. Changing
horses in mid-stream is risky at best.

Sure the Internet has offered a previously unimaginable amount of information to
investors allowing them gain a sense of confidence and understanding of the markets.
But after having put together a portfolio the investor is now responsible for
monitoring investments on a full time basis. In the equity markets there are scores of
analysts generating hundreds upon thousands of research reports. The SEC requires
corporate disclosure of financial information each quarter and additional filings
regarding a number of issues such as insider buys and sells. All this information is
combined and put forth on the Internet for investors to dissect and act upon making
monitoring the portfolio easier than in the past. This is simply not the case in the
Municipal Bond markets. Not until 1997 were issuers required to make continuing
disclosure of material events that relate the possible performance of the bonds. And
even this requirement only applies to bonds issued after 1996. Fortunately we have
seen other issuers providing additional disclosure even if not required. I believe this
is done not out of the goodness of their hearts but an attempt to ward off any
possible litigation. The MSRB (Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board) has recently
been contemplating the issue of Electronic Trading in municipal securities. It appears
that this is still a long way off due to the lack of an infrastructure that allows for the
timely dissemination of all relevant information. One thought brought about by the
MSRB was to create a class of investors called sophisticated market professionals
and allow this group to trade electronically. The thought being that these investors
would have access, knowledge and understanding of all pertinent information. Well
the lack of timely information is so inconsistent that even organizations representing
these market professionals have opposed the idea of allowing market professionals
such as mutual funds, trust departments, and money managers to trade electronically
due to their fear they that may not have all the information and would be taking on
additional liability for being responsible for knowing all pertinent facts at the time of
purchase. Individual investors acting on their own through electronic trading would
also be responsible for knowing all the facts at the time of purchase and for
monitoring any future developments in their bonds.

As investors shift or reallocate funds from equity to fixed income investments they
may feel that once the bonds are purchased with the return and maturity known the
only thing left to do is cash the checks. This is absolutely not the case. Bonds are
active investments with many forces affecting their price and ultimate performance on
a daily basis. I see many existing portfolios of bonds and just as many considered
portfolios that simply do not address all levels of risk. As investment opportunities
become more and more comoditized and sold on the basis of price and commission
the only thing setting financial professionals apart are service and a finely focused
understanding of a specific niche in the markets.

I recently spoke with an investor interested in establishing a corporate bond portfolio
that would generate a certain level of cash flow. The level of cash flow desired could
not be accomplished given the limited amount of capital by investing in Treasury
bonds, Agency bonds or the top two rating levels of corporate bonds. Corporate
bonds rated in the A to Baa range would need to be considered. Although I did not
put together the portfolio I hope the investor has done so with an advisor who can
provide him with the necessary service of reporting and monitoring the portfolio.
Bonds are what we know, service is what we offer.

These strategies may or may not be suitable for your risk tolerance and
investment objectives. Please contact me for a complete discussion of the
factors involved, and their impact on your investment program.

My e-mail is jhowle@mayfinancial.com.