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Technology Stocks : Nortel Networks (NT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: zbyslaw owczarczyk who wrote (9442)1/25/2001 10:30:39 AM
From: Bosco  Respond to of 14638
 
Hi all - don't mean to dump on LU, but I find it revealing

zdii.com

specifically,

Most analysts shrugged off the fact Lucent missed first
quarter estimates that were lowered four times. Sales
came in at $5.8 billion, well below expectations. Lucent
said it was being pickier about what contracts it
chased.

and at the end, Mr Henderson has offered

B. Alexander Henderson, an analyst at Salomon Smith
Barney, had a few interesting points. He noted:

Lucent's loss should "stun even the most pessimistic
observers," he said. Lucent's loss of 30 cents a share
was bad, but not as bad as it could have been.
Henderson notes that Lucent's tax line included a $864
million credit against the operating loss, which equals a
25 cents a share offset to the operating losses. Without
that credit, Lucent had a pretax operating loss of $1.86
billion, or 55 cents a share.

Revenue is likely to be down at a double-digit clip
through all four quarters of 2001 year over year. "We
think the decline is faster than even the most jaded
analyst would have expected," said Henderson. He
doubts that Lucent will be able to grow sales because it
has cut back on vendor financing and discounts.
Schacht's outlook merely called for sequential
improvement in the financials.

Nortel's (NYSE: NT) revenue increased by the same
amount Lucent's declined. Nortel is No. 2 in market
share. Henderson said this trend could continue,

especially since Lucent could realistically fall short of
the Street's already lowered targets. "We think the
losses in the fiscal second quarter could be
substantially larger than the Street is currently
forecasting," he said.

best, Bosco