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Technology Stocks : WDC/Sandisk Corporation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Michael Kim who wrote (18530)1/25/2001 12:33:29 AM
From: puborectalis  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 60323
 
Name me one tech company that's got "visibility" for the rest of the year.SNDK makes money and sells at a reasonable PE.



To: Michael Kim who wrote (18530)1/25/2001 6:58:45 AM
From: orkrious  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 60323
 
royalties of $15 million per qtr - what's that about?

Michael, Eli was asked about this specifically in the CC. Essentially, he said he is being conservative and last year they had several new up front payments for licensing agreements-he isn't including any in this number. He also said that negotiations are ongoing in with several card manufacturers. Further, he said it is their position that the '987 patent applies to MMC and SD cards.

Listen to the replay. For the first time they have one.

Jay



To: Michael Kim who wrote (18530)1/25/2001 7:50:38 AM
From: Ausdauer  Respond to of 60323
 
Aus, any take on the licensing revenue situation?
I mean royalties of $15 million per qtr - what's that about?


The argument made during the c.c. was that there were a number of
licensees that had been paying a fixed license that transitioned
to a revenue-based license. The revenue base for this calculation
must have been significantly less than expected.

I also wonder if the recent deals with Toshiba (the JV) and the renewed
Hitachi license (which I believe includes a right of first refusal
on the latest Hitachi flash chip) may include a reduced license.

Eli mentioned that '987 licenses are being negotiated, both on CompactFlash
and the MMC/SDMC fronts. I am still upset that no formal announcements
have been made. We have been waiting several quarters for the news.

My take on the c.c was that SanDisk grew extraordinarily fast in 2000
and now they need to take a breather. For example, they earned 41¢ in
the just finished quarter vs. 43¢ in all of 1999. Total EPS more
than tripled in 2000 over 1999 and total revenues exceeded $600 million.

The fall in OEM turns sales at the end of December really created a
problem for us. Eli didn't say it, but Kodak must have lost a large
piece of the digital camera pie. That leaves Canon, HP and Nikon as
the other major digital camera vendors supporting SanDisk.
Panasonic and JVC have been good supporters of MMC.
Compaq and a number of MP3 manufactures have also been
supporting MMC.

The inventory issue looms over us for the next 3 to 6 months.
Eli and Frank indicated that the majority of this is raw materials
and that the wafer is a high-end product. Hopefully they can fine
tune the product mix to prevent an inventory write-off in future quarters.

Eli seemed upbeat about the second half of the year. I hope his
enthusiasm plays out as he anticipates. Several new products
will be released that use SanDisk MMC and SDMC. He must have some
idea about the potential of these items, both from a consumer
point of view and from the OEM demand point of view.

Aus