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To: chowder who wrote (85445)1/26/2001 3:34:17 PM
From: stevedhu  Respond to of 95453
 
PQUE moving up a little on 4 X Avg. Vol. and TMR has a lot of buyers.
Steve



To: chowder who wrote (85445)1/26/2001 6:15:02 PM
From: Big Dog  Respond to of 95453
 
From John S. Herold, Inc.

DON’T BELIEVE THE SEC VALUES
Reserve valuation standards mandated by the SEC will result in absurd present worth calculations this year. The
Henry Hub spot price was an unparalleled $10.50/MMBtu on 12/31. Not only must the high year-end quote be
used as a fixed standard for future revenue but undeveloped reserves could be booked that are only commercial at
anomalously high price levels. We expect that most seasoned CEOs will avoid the temptation to recognize
reserves this year that may need to be reversed out in twelve months if spot prices slump. Barrett Resources
(BRR-$47.44) chose to show a supplemental calculation in its reserve report that points out their price sensitivity.
Using its SEC-mandated price leads to a PV10 calculation of $5.25 billion in reserve value, or more than
$3.80/Mcfe. That’s a whopping five times what the same type of reserves were worth a year ago, which of course
makes no sense. But it is the law. In an attempt to be realistic, BRR gave an alternate PV10 figure based on
$3.90/Mcf gas, coming up with a value of $2.2 billion. What a range – the $3 billion dollar discrepancy amounts to
$93 per Barrett share.