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Technology Stocks : Compaq -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Night Writer who wrote (89300)1/26/2001 11:24:55 PM
From: Captain Jack  Respond to of 97611
 
Well,, I'll hold some cash but vthink we will see a POP on 1/2 even though it may not sustain. A couple points on a couple issues in a few days will be fine-- Nothing I'm buying now is meant to be held as the mkt may not have the legs until Q3... or later... just watching and trading..... and holding very little-- mostly OLD GE, IBM, MST,etc,,,



To: Night Writer who wrote (89300)1/27/2001 8:52:03 AM
From: hlpinout  Respond to of 97611
 
Compaq Execs See High-Margin Growth For
Web Devices

Updated: Friday, January 26, 2001 03:48 PM ET
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By Bob Sechler

Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

HOUSTON, Texas (Dow Jones)--A new era of high-margin growth is dawning in the personal
computer industry as "boring beige boxes" make way for all manner of Internet-ready, portable
devices, Compaq Computer Corp. (CPQ, news, msgs) executives forecast Friday.

The market for such devices will be larger than that of the traditional PC market by 2004,
Compaq Vice President Mike Winkler predicted, speaking during the company's financial
meeting for Wall Street analysts and major investors.

Last year, Compaq unveiled a host of new consumer
products for accessing the Internet, receiving wireless e-mail
and playing digital music. Winkler made clear that those are
the types of devices Compaq sees driving profitability in the
consumer PC market, although he also stressed that the
company will continue to be a player in the market for more
traditional PCs.

Still, he and Compaq Chief Executive Michael Capellas
reiterated comments earlier this week that they won't be
drawn into a PC price war. Dell Computer Corp. (DELL,
news, msgs) captured some market share in the fourth
quarter by sharply lowering prices.

"Revenue for its own sake is a worthless thing in the PC
market," Winkler said. "We are aiming for profitable growth."

Later, in an interview with Dow Jones Newswires, Winkler said PC demand has been a
"pleasant surprise" within the last two weeks.

"We have set very low expectations, and I will say (demand) is better than those low
expectations," Winkler said.

Compaq previously projected overall sales growth in the first half of 2001 at an anemic 3% to
5% above 2000 levels, citing slowing consumer confidence and an overall downturn in the
economy.

But early signals are that demand may be improving as consumers gain confidence action is
being taken to ward off a recession, Winkler said.

"People may be getting less worried," he said. "Maybe consumer spending will reignite."

Still, he cautioned that it remains early in the quarter, so "the jury is still out."

CEO Capellas also emphasized during the analyst meeting that he's still forecasting a general
slowdown for the first half of 2001, particularly in the consumer and PC markets.

The company didn't change any of the 2001 financial guidance it provided earlier this week
after reporting fourth-quarter results, although executives described their forecasts as
conservative, particularly in the first half.

For the full year, Compaq has projected sales growth at 6% to 8% from 2000 levels. It
expects earnings per share for the year to come in at $1.14 to $1.19 a share, excluding
items, compared with 95 cents a share in 2000.

Chief Financial Officer Jesse Greene said revenue for the company's high-margin enterprise
computing division, which includes servers and storage devices, should grow by 13% to 15%
in 2001.

Revenue from global services is expected to grow 6% to 8%, and revenue from its "access"
divisions, which include consumer and commercial PCs, should grow 3% to 5%, he said.

Compaq executives made clear that they're banking on their higher-margin enterprise
computing products to drive profits in 2001, echoing a growth strategy they've outlined
previously.

The company will capture market share for servers and other enterprise products in 2001,
CEO Capellas vowed, although he declined to identify specific competitors he thought were
vulnerable.

"There's no question" Compaq will capture market share this year, he said.

Compaq also will attempt to beef up sales of products and services to small- and
medium-sized businesses in 2001, a segment where Capellas acknowledged the company
has "underperformed" in the past.

Compaq has a 12% market share in the segment, substantially below its better-than-20%
share of corporate sales.

The levels of PC inventory at retailers and dealers also should decline during the year, the
company said. Excess inventory is a concern for Wall Street analysts and investors because
it is considered a drag on sales.

Compaq executives predicted inventory declines during 2001, saying there's a chance
Compaq could finish the year with about two weeks of unsold PCs at sales outlets. The fourth
quarter ended with closer to four weeks of unsold PCs, a figure executives said they were
comfortable with but would like to see fall.

Overall, Capellas characterized 2000 as a year in which Compaq established a solid base for
the future despite difficult market conditions.

He said the company increased sales 10% and increased its margins "despite the fact we
had a pretty tough pricing environment."

Analysts gave the company credit for making significant progress during the year and putting
in place a strategy that appears to be solid.

But some said the firm must prove it can pull it off.

"They're focusing on faster-growing, higher-margin businesses, and that's a positive," said
David Bailey, an analyst with Gerard Klauer Mattison & Co. who has a neutral rating on
Compaq. "Clearly, they're better positioned than they were a year ago. But I think it's going to
be a challenge."

-By Bob Sechler; Dow Jones Newswires; 512-236-9637



To: Night Writer who wrote (89300)1/28/2001 9:26:27 AM
From: Captain Jack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 97611
 
N W -- now we have world financial leaders begging AG for 1/2 point- check the article,,,
(REUTERS) DAVOS-Leaders urge Fed to save world from recession
DAVOS-Leaders urge Fed to save world from recession

By David Crossland
DAVOS, Switzerland, Jan 28 (Reuters) - Global business and
finance leaders gathered at the Davos World Economic Forum
summit are pinning their hopes on aggressive interest rate cuts
in the United States to save the world from recession.
But they hold out little hope that Japan, the world's second
largest economy, can make a quick recovery from its slowdown as
its interest rates are already at zero and public debt is too
high to allow further big fiscal stimulus packages.
One top International Monetary Fund official said the IMF
was preparing to lower its world growth forecast for 2001 to
around 3.5 percent from 4.2 percent.
Days before the Federal Reserve's FOMC policy-making council
meets on January 30-31, economists, finance officials and
business chiefs said they were confident the Federal Reserve
will keep cutting interest rates.
Lower borrowing costs, combined with planned tax cuts by the
new U.S. administration, would help revive U.S. growth from
mid-2001, they said.
"Another half-point cut would be the best policy at the next
FOMC meeting," said Robert Mundell, an economist who won the
Nobel Prize for Economics in 1999.
French Finance Minister Laurent Fabius said he saw plenty of
scope for more U.S. cuts, while IMF deputy head Stanley Fischer
said the Fed had room to cut rates by as much as five points if
necessary without stoking inflation.
"Not that I think that will be necessary," Fischer added.
The threat of world recession and the prospect of
anti-globalisation protests spoilt the usually cosy atmosphere
at the annual meeting of the world's business and political
elite in this Swiss ski resort.
Hundreds of police and kilometres of barbed wire surrounding
the conference centre added to the sense of gloom and clashed
with the Forum's lofty theme this year, "Bridging the Divides."
In the event, protestors and police fought each other in Zurich.
PLEAS GO OUT TO FED, OPEC
Delegates also urged OPEC oil producing nations to help
prevent a repeat of the oil price surge last year that helped
bring economic growth in the U.S. to a screeching halt.
German Finance Minister Hans Eichel said on Saturday if oil
prices stabilised at levels seen in recent weeks it would be a
"big plus" for the world economy. "I'm sure OPEC is aware of its
responsibilities," Eichel said.
OPEC's response appeared reassuring. Saudi Oil Minister Ali
al-Naimi said he expected OPEC would succeed in maintaining the
price of OPEC oil around $25. OPEC, which cut oil output by five
percent this month to help support prices, aims to keep the
price in a range of $22 to $28.
The Fed is now widely expected to deliver a half-point cut
at its upcoming meeting, the second cut this month after it
lowered its Fed funds rate on overnight lending by half a point
to 6.0 percent on January 3.
Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan stoked rate cut expectations
last week when he said U.S. growth may have slowed to near zero.
Fischer, echoing other analysts at the Forum, said the world
was still far from the kind of recession seen in the early 1980s
and 1990s.
ECB STEADY FOR NOW, BUT LESS HAWKISH
Fischer stopped short of urging the European Central Bank to
cut interest rates, saying that despite a slowdown in European
growth during the second half of 2000, its economic position
looked "pretty strong."
He added: "Inflation will be restrained by the stronger euro
and by lower energy prices, and wage growth remains moderate, so
there is scope for interest rate cuts if activity weakens or the
euro appreciates markedly."
ECB officials have made clear they will not cut interest
rates for the time being but acknowledged price pressures in the
euro zone are easing, fuelling speculation of a cut over the
next six months.
DOUBTS ABOUT JAPAN
Fischer said Japanese GDP may have contracted slightly in
the final quarter of 2000 after a sharp slowdown in the previous
two quarters.
The main weapon left to Japan was restructuring of the
economy, particularly banks, corporate debt and corporations,
although the turnaround would not be rapid, he said.
Japanese Prime Minister Yoshiro Mori told the Forum on
Saturday that the 1990s had been "a lost decade" for Japan in
which its citizens lost an estimated 1,000 trillion yen ($8.55
trillion) through falling equity and land prices alone, an
amount twice that of Japan's GDP.