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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (62267)1/27/2001 11:22:02 PM
From: Don Lloyd  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 436258
 
hb -

FYI from an email -

"Sources for Statistical Data

by Harry Browne

My recent article "The Clinton Legends Will Live
On in the Bush Presidency" prompted some readers
to ask for the sources of the statistics I used.

In addition, it occurs to me that you might like
to know where on the Internet you can get
statistical information whenever you might want
it. So this brief article will try to provide some
pointers.

The figures given in my article were all taken
from various issues of "Economic Indicators," a
monthly publication of the Joint Economic
Committee of Congress. I've had a subscription to
it for many years -- and so I have issues
containing data going back into the 1950s.

The publication is now online. You can go directly
to the Table of Contents at:

www.access.gpo.gov/congress/eibrowse/broecind.html

This is the most comprehensive summary I know of
for monthly economic statistics. It includes
tables on economic growth, national income,
corporate profits, employment, wage rates,
business activity, inflation, the money supply,
interest rates, stock indices, the federal budget,
and international trade. The tables show monthly,
quarterly, and annual figures for recent years.

You're given a choice of seeing the tables in text
format or Adobe Acrobat PDF format. For most
people, text will be better. For one thing, it
makes it possible to select material and copy it
to the computer clipboard for use in a spreadsheet
or elsewhere.

Unfortunately, online you can access only recent
issues, starting with January 1998. And the
typical table in an issue goes back only to 1990,
with a few beginning at 1984. So older data aren't
available there.

However, the Federal Reserve's website, which I'll
come to in a moment, has longer-term data for some
of the indicators.

The data on government "surpluses" and debt given
in the article are in Economic Indicators on page
32. You can access them directly using the link:

frwebgate.access.gpo.gov
?dbname=economic_indicators&docid=32no00.txt

(This is the November 2000 issue, which is the one
I used for the article.)

[Please note that this link and several that follow
require that you copy and paste the second line into
your browser.]

The fictitious surpluses are shown in the third
numeric column, while the actual debt is shown in
the next to last column. (The disparity between
the last two columns occurs because the "Gross
Federal Debt" includes debt held by Social
Security and the Federal Reserve System, which
must be repaid at some point, and which incurs
interest expense in the federal budget.)

Incidentally, I misspoke in the article when I
said the first supposed surplus was for the fiscal
year 1999. It actually was 1998, but the mistake
didn't affect any point made in the article.

Federal welfare spending is on page 33 in the
column "Income Security." You can go directly to
that page with this link:

frwebgate.access.gpo.gov
?dbname=economic_indicators&docid=33no00.txt

Growth rates for the economy are taken from the
figures for Real Gross Domestic Product on page 2.
You can go directly to that page with this link:

frwebgate.access.gpo.gov
?dbname=economic_indicators&docid=02no00.txt

However, this table goes back only to 1990. My
data goes back much further, and is taken from
various government sources. Please understand,
however, that all estimates of economic national
activity are comparable to wild guesses.

The Federal Reserve's website has a great deal of
data covering interest rates, currency prices,
industrial activity, and the money supply. Some of
these time series go back to the time of Moses.
The Table of Contents is at:

www.federalreserve.gov/releases/

Specifically, average monthly rates on T-bills
(mentioned in my article), for example, are at:

www.federalreserve.gov/releases/H15/data/m/tbsm1y.txt

These figures don't match exactly the ones in
Economic Indicators and in my article, but they
are close enough to make the same point.

For heavy-duty researchers, there are sources of
long-term data. I'll mention two of them here.

A basic source of longer-term data is the annual
"Statistical Abstract of the United States,"
published yearly by the U.S. Census Bureau. It
contains hundreds of tables going back 10-50
years.

The latest issue is the 1999 edition, which
Amazon.com says is now out of print. The 2000
edition will be published on March 15, 2001, and
Amazon is taking orders now (the price is $40).
The book is described at:

www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1573110639/ref=sim
_books/104-6788558-8463166

A CD-ROM version of the 1999 issue is available
for $25 from Amazon. (The 2000 edition probably
won't be available until July 2001.) The CD-ROM
version is superior to the hard copy in that it
has continuous annual data going back several
decades -- while the hard copy has gaps so that
each table can fit on a single book page. The
CD-ROM provides all the tables in spreadsheet
format so that it's easy to use them in a
spreadsheet program. The ordering details are at:

www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1893472124/qid=980
475530/sr=1-9/ref=sc_b_9/104-6788558-8463166

A valuable source of long-term data is the
2-volume book "Historical Statistics of the United
States, Colonial Times to 1970." This was
published by the Bureau of the Census in 1975, as
a historical supplement to the yearly Statistical
Abstracts. It contains hundreds and hundreds of
statistical tables, some of them going back to the
18th century -- taking up over a thousand large
book pages.

The set eventually went out of print, but I notice
that Amazon now offers it for $79 for 4-6 week
delivery. The web page showing it is at:

www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0160004608/qid=980
474658/sr=1-3/ref=sc_b_3/104-6788558-8463166

A new wrinkle is that this set is now available on
CD-ROM for $210. I intend to buy a copy as soon as
I get a job, as it will make it easy to work with
the data. You can see the description at:

www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0521585414/qid=980
475120/sr=1-2/ref=sc_b_2/104-6788558-8463166

If you're familiar with other websites that have
extensive economic data available, I'd appreciate
knowing about them."

Regards, Don



To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (62267)1/28/2001 11:41:33 AM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Heinz - is this for real? >>Zoos raided as German food scares grow

By Imre Karacs in Berlin

28 January 2001

What a sad place the little city zoo in Berlin's Kreuzberg district is.
Children weep for their missing favourites; Gustav the gander, his
wings drooping in sorrow, pines for his harem. All the other geese
have vanished in recent days, along with four ducks and seven hens.
The staff have eaten them.

Nothing seems sacred any more as Germans, confronted by empty
shelves at the supermarkets, go foraging for food. With BSE beef
already off the menu, followed by sausages and now pork, filling a
German belly is becoming nearly impossible. As hunger grips, no one,
not even the dedicated Kreuzberg zoo keepers, will object to a bit of
free-range poultry.

Other options are fast running out. Even those still willing to risk steak
are finding that restaurants are no longer serving it, while meat
counters have at best only a token display of browning beef.

After the first scare in November, shoppers switched to game. Now
the consumers are being informed that venison is also dodgy,
because deer in German forests are apparently fed on the same kind
of bone-meal fodder that has brought BSE to cattle.

Lamb is to be avoided, scientists warn, because of scrapie. Battery
chickens come laced with salmonella and occasionally dioxin. Cats
and dogs, in case anyone should fancy them, are out because of the
low-grade beef they consume.

Other pets, such as hamsters and guinea-pigs, are equally
unwholesome because they, too, have been unwittingly munching on
the remnants of animal carcasses for years.

That, more or less, leaves fish, largely unknown to German cuisine
apart from the roll-mop variety. Fresh fish, in any case, is hard to find.

There was also pork, of course, prepared in hundreds of ingenious
ways from the humble fried chop to Helmut Kohl's beloved Saumagen,
or stuffed pig's stomach. No German would starve while there was
pork around in abundance.

Unfortunately, officials discovered last week that millions of Bavarian
pigs have for years been fattened up with the help of illegal drugs,
including the sort of anabolic steroids that enabled East German
female athletes to swim as fast as men, at the price of growing hair
on their chests.

To someone who does not wish to repeat the feat, pork is looking
rather unappetising.

It is bad news for most Germans, who would rather die than become
vegetarian. What are they supposed to eat? That is the question
preoccupying much of the nation's media, with television channels
scheduling special programmes every day in search of the elusive
answer. But so far, consumers have only learnt from these what they
cannot eat, not what they can.

That leaves Alfred Biolek, Germany's best-known TV chef, with the
task of educating the masses. Mr Biolek is trying to wean people off
their traditional greasy meat and stodgy veg. Viewers learnt the
secrets of gnocchi with chanterelle mushrooms last week. They got
the recipe for sauerkraut soup a week earlier.

What people can eat is also a political question in certain sensitive
areas. For instance, the German parliament's canteen appears to have
banned both beef and pork. Its latest offerings include cabbage stew,
elk ragout, and organic vegetarian cannelloni.

Beef has also been declared verboten in the armed forces,
presumably on the grounds that you cannot have mad soldiers. But
too much muscle has never done the troops any harm, so pork is still
allowed.

Everyone else must get used to elk, reindeer, ostrich, crocodile and
other exotic meats which have recently turned up at the shops, or go
hunting. In this frenzy, the sheep in Kreuzberg are probably safe for
the moment, but the rabbits had better watch out.

Old Gustav, by the way, survived the zoo keepers' feast because he
was thought to be too chewy. <<

independent.co.uk