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To: GVTucker who wrote (47425)1/29/2001 11:30:16 AM
From: Tulvio Durand  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
... If a recession is in the cards, rate cuts won't stop it.

If true, then its opposite must be true: rate hikes won't cause recessions. Most economists hold that the root cause of our present economic slide toward recession are AG's rate hikes in 1999 and 2000. Moreover economists are saying that it will take at least 1.5 points of rate cuts to stop the slide. There's no sense in parceling out 0.25 point cuts since time is of the essence in stopping the slide. In order to achieve the desired results faster the remaining 1.0 point cut should be enacted immediately. Even better would be a 1.5 point rate cut now followed by successive 0.25 point hikes on first evidence that GDP growth has exceeded target growth rate. This leading (anticipating) correction technique is well know in the stability and control engineering discipline. A basic course in dynamics of stability and control should be mandatory for all economists.

Tulvio