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Technology Stocks : PALM - The rebirth of Palm Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mang Cheng who wrote (3607)1/30/2001 2:19:31 AM
From: Mang Cheng  Respond to of 6784
 
Excerpt from the Morgan S D W report:

"Valuation"

"We rate PALM Strong Buy with a target price of $70. Our
target price assumes PALM could trade at approximately
16.5 times calendar 2001E revenues. We believe there is a
secular shift toward mobile computing that benefits PALM
and makes it a must-own stock.
In our view, PALM is
suitable for investors with a tolerance for the volatility
associated with technology stocks.

Key Investment Positives

• Large market opportunity. Palm is playing in a market
that is expected to approach 1 billion units in 2003 in terms
of hardware (including smart phones, entertainment devices,
handheld devices, and advanced digital phones), not to
mention the opportunities in software and services
surrounding these devices.

• Solid demand. Palm has the largest installed base in the
mobile Internet, based on 10.9 million units shipped as of
December 2000. In addition, one good measure of platform
leadership is software support from outside developers.
Palm’s developer community has grown to more than
135,000 (up from 100,000 at the end of the first quarter of
2000).

• Software licensing opportunities. Palm licenses its OS to
other handheld device companies, including Handspring
(HAND, $48, not covered), Nokia (NOK, Neutral, $39,
covered by Angela Dean), and Sony (SNE, $76,
Outperform, covered by Takatoshi Yamamoto). While
Handspring products compete with Palm products,
Handspring sales translate into licensing revenue for Palm.

• Wireless strategy. The company plans to provide Palm
customers three ways to access the Internet wirelessly: (1)
using a mobile Internet kit that connects a Palm device to a
mobile phone; (2) using a wireless sled; and (3) using a
device that fully integrates the wireless hardware. In
addition, Palm signed a deal with Sprint PCS (PCS, $32,
Strong Buy, covered by Colette Fleming) that expands
Palm’s wireless offering to a CDMA network. The
partnership is not exclusive, and we expect Palm to strike
similar partnerships with other service providers in and
outside of the United States. Palm already has a partnership
with NTT DoCoMo (NTDMY, $103, covered by Hironori
Tanaka) in Japan to integrate Palm’s wireless application
technologies with NTT DoCoMo’s wireless network
infrastructure.

• International opportunities. International markets for
handheld devices are expected to grow faster than the US
market. International revenues represented 38% of sales in
the third quarter.

• Enterprise opportunities. Palm is working with
enterprise-software vendors such as Oracle to develop
applications that provide access to enterprise databases
using devices on the Palm platform. Of the 135,000
developers supporting the Palm platform, two-thirds are
enterprise application developers. Palm is now actively
supported at 123 Fortune 500 companies.

multexinvestor.com



To: Mang Cheng who wrote (3607)1/30/2001 8:31:23 AM
From: Win-Lose-Draw  Respond to of 6784
 
Ericy is getting out of the handheld business

What??? Where on earth did you read this??? Ericsson has announced no such thing.



To: Mang Cheng who wrote (3607)1/30/2001 8:49:07 AM
From: David E. Taylor  Respond to of 6784
 
Mang:

I don't think Symbian is dead, at least not yet. Technically, they seem to have developed a robust communications OS platform with multi-tasking capabilities in EPOC, and while Palm OS 4 seems to fill some gaps, it won't be until OS 5 is released that Palm will have something comparable. If they get it out in 2002, it'll be just in time, hopefully they can do it. I don't know enough and haven't read enough to compare EPOC with Palm's projected OS 5, but that's the gist of what I've read. Maybe Khan or someone else with more knowledge of OS's than I can comment on EPOC vs. Palm OS 5.

ERICY isn't getting out of handsets, in fact Advalorem posted yesterday the upcoming cell phone/communicators slated for market in the next few months, and they included the Ericsson R380 which uses the Symbian OS:

Message 15265826

Also NOK's offering is reported to have EPOC as the underlying OS with the Palm UI layered on top. I agree with you on MOT, they've apparently decided to put the OS for their advanced Communicator offering solely in Palm's hands.

It may be that Palm will eventually bury Symbian, but not IMO for a few years.

David T.