We need a LOT of Bastilles
We've been hard at work at that problem, E. Quick stats:
GAO found that: (1) the total U.S. prison population grew from about 329,800 inmates in 1980 to about 1.1 million inmates in 1995, which is an increase of about 242 percent; (2) during this period, the federal inmate population grew about 311 percent, and the inmate populations under the jurisdiction of state prisons grew about 237 percent; (3) the corresponding average annual growth rates were 9.9 percent of federal populations and 8.4 percent for state populations; (4) in June 1996, the Bureau of Prisons (BOP) projected that the federal prison population could reach about 125,000 inmates by 2000, an increase of 25 percent over the 1995 level; (5) in July 1995, the National Council on Crime and Delinquency (NCCD) projected that the total federal and state prison population under sentencing policies in effect in 1994 could reach 1.4 million inmates by 2000, representing an increase of about 24 percent over the 1995 level; (6) in recent years, inmate population growth can be traced in large part to major legislative initiatives that are intended to get tough on crime, particularly on drug offenders; [love that war on (some) drugs] (7) U.S. prison annual operating costs grew from about $3.1 billion in fiscal year (FY) 1980 to about $17.7 billion in current dollars in FY 1994; (8) BOP projected that its capital costs for new federal prisons scheduled to begin operations during fiscal years 1996 to 2006 could total about $4 billion; (9) BOP, NCCD, California, and Texas each use a form of microsimulation modeling to forecast prison inmate populations; and (10) according to BOP, its projections of federal prison inmate populations for 1991 to 1995 were within 1.4 percent, on average, of the actual populations. (http://www.fas.org/irp/gao/ggd97015.htm)
A projection up to current times:
A recent study by the Justice Policy Institute predicts that on February 15, 2000, America's prison population will hit two million. This number may sound astonishingly high - but put it into context and it becomes astronomical. In 1970, the prison population was just 200,000. This number rose to 315,974 in 1980 and 739,980 in 1990. The Justice Policy Institute's findings indicate that by the end of the year, we will have increased the prison population by 61% more than we did during the 80's. abanet.org
Oops, looks like we had no problem meeting that projection, with W's able assistance.
Cooling a two-decade trend[!], the U.S. prison population rose in 1999 at its lowest annual rate since 1979, according to a study released Wednesday by the Justice Department.
The national prison population grew by 3.4 percent last year, reaching 2,026,596 people behind bars and slowing from the average growth rate of 6.5 percent between 1990 and 1999. . . .
Texas was operating the largest prison system at the end of 1999, the study found, with 163,190 people behind bars. It was followed closely by California, with 163,067 inmates, and the federal prison system, with 135,246.
Louisiana and Texas had the highest incarceration rates. Minnesota and Maine had the lowest.
Nine states more than doubled their prison populations between 1990 and 1999, led by Texas, which had a 173% rise. Idaho was second with a 147 percent rise, followed by West Virginia, up 126 percent. cnn.com
I'd guess W's solution to his previous solution would be to increase the injection rate, or something.
Cheers, Dan, blackly. |