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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: c.hinton who wrote (67930)1/30/2001 9:19:40 AM
From: jmanvegas  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
What debt load? It is expected that the US surplus should be over $6 trillion in the next 10 years. The US debt is around $3 trillion. Just look at Japan. Look at their interest rates, look at their debt load, and then look at what their economy has done this past decade. Give the money back to the people. Government should dramatically lower tax rate and change tax laws. You would be surprised at how much more money comes into the government coffers. I'll take a little inflation. It's deflation that is devastating.

jmanvegas



To: c.hinton who wrote (67930)1/30/2001 10:18:35 AM
From: stockamaniac  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
<<Any new liquidity should go to paying off existing debt not creating new>>
lurker here who greatly enjoys this board. With regards to the 'eventual payoff of the debt' (which is over $3T when you count all the trust funds the gov't owes) I don't see this point raised much but if the gov't actually pays off the debt then at some point they start redeeming the notes the Federal Reserve owns. Since some banking act of the mid 30's, our money supply is pyramided on gov't debt. This would actually cause a contraction of the money supply which , of course, has recessionary effects. The more of the F.R. 's notes the gov't pays off the worse the money supply would get. If the gov't payed off every dollar of the debt then there would be no money (other than coins).
That banking act allows other instruments than gov't notes to be used to back the money supply, but to my knowledge they've never been significantly used, and I don't know if they could support a trillion plus M1.
There's certainly alot of room before this becomes a concern, but when politicians talk about paying off the entire debt it would be nice to see them have a plan for the consequences of doing it.



To: c.hinton who wrote (67930)1/30/2001 12:06:21 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Respond to of 99985
 
Low interest rates must not be accompanied by liquidity. They are two different issues, which are reflected in spreads.

Haim