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Strategies & Market Trends : ahhaha's ahs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ahhaha who wrote (920)1/30/2001 3:16:58 PM
From: GraceZRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 24758
 
Do you think Japan's central bank could have prevented their deflationary cycle by doing something more? They moved interest rates to zero, yet no one would borrow.



To: ahhaha who wrote (920)1/31/2001 12:57:41 AM
From: jack bittnerRespond to of 24758
 
you are surely correct when you write that it is impossible usefully to regulate the price of money. as late as november the Fed was fearing inflation - at the very moment when the economy was falling away beneath our feet. had they not exacerbated a normal slow-down by raising rates we would not be in this pickle now, and they would not be abruptly dropping rates and anxiously seeking a tax cut.

far as i know, not a single talking head has noticed how wrong the Fed has been - while the evidence appeared before them only last month. nobody notices that the hero in the fed has been jamming on the brakes and then jamming on the accelerator, when it's all occurring before their eyes.

there'll be more pushing on the string with increased money supply. and suddenly the monster of inflation will rise.
this is where i came in.

i do believe it is profoundly psychologically useful for virtually all to believe that our money is controlled by an infallible god. it avoids panic. the powers believe someone must regulate rates. thus, if Greenspan didn't do it, we might have someone truly dangerous. this is the can-do country and we cannot accept that something will work unless we tinker with it.

your prescription of leaving it all alone and suffering a bit this year until the tinkering clears out of the system is perfect.

this subject echoes the medicine craze this country suffers. the healthiest people i know take no pills. the rest think that such people don't take pills because they're healthy. rather, they're healthy because they don't take pills. but Americans must tinker.