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To: chowder who wrote (85668)	1/30/2001 12:45:42 PM
From: Don England	Respond to of 95453

75 bp is exactly what i was thinking. a.g.'s fav indicator gets hit with shrinkwrap. sold some of the stuff i bot near the close yest. flc up 7% was nice. got out of the rest of my eee while i still had a profit. nothing really moving much one way or the other. am on the fence as to what volatility we will see the rest of this week. it's like we can see the beautiful island just across the strait, but damn, the water from here to there looks choppy. hope my euro denom. bonds start to show some life now; they bleed like early ebola. don

To: chowder who wrote (85668)	1/30/2001 1:17:30 PM
From: kodiak_bull	Respond to of 95453

Dabum, I can't see 75 bp for one very simple reason. AG already scared the market with his unscheduled 50 bp drop and his 180 degree turn on tax cuts (oh yeah, and his statement about the economy as flat or zero or whatever he said), a drop of 25 bp would disappoint the market pretty hard, a 50 bp is expected, and a 75 bp drop would scare the daylights out of everyone. The question would be what is terrifying the Fed about this economy. That's my case for 50 bp. Actually, the Fed could lower only 25 bp by saying it was joining this cut to Jan 3's and will cut as soon as needed in accordance with its own monitoring of the situation. Jus' rambling.