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To: Susan G who wrote (2269)1/31/2001 12:34:26 PM
From: bobby is sleepless in seattle  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5732
 
PeopleSoft falls despite strong
quarter

By Tiffany Kary ZDII


PeopleSoft (Nasdaq: PSFT) shed 10 percent
Wednesday, despite praise from some
analysts following the company's report of
better-than-expected fourth quarter.

A bearish report from Morgan Stanley said the
stock was likely to stay stagnant in the
near-term.

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PeopleSoft falls despite
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Shares in the maker of enterprise software
were off $5.03 to $43.91 on Wednesday
morning. The stock has risen 31 percent since
the year began.

PeopleSoft announced financial results after
market close Tuesday, beating estimates on
the top and bottom line. The company stuck to
its earlier revenue and earnings forecasts for
2001, perhaps disappointing observers who
were hoping the company would raise
expectations.

First Call consensus currently predicts
PeopleSoft will earn 58 cents per share on
revenue of $2.06 billion.

However, Morgan Stanley analyst Charles E.
Phillips downgraded the stock from
"outperform" to "neutral". Phillips said the
downgrade was based on share price, and an
expectation that revenue growth this year is
unlikely to match the company's impressive
pace of the last six months.

The company's planned reduction in deferred
revenue throughout the year reduces top line
visibility, and "quite possibly, the multiple on
the stock," Phillips said.

The analyst praised management for doing an
excellent job in reviving the company, but said
that in this transition phase, comparisons are
tougher, income from its Momentum subsidiary
is declining, and margins will likely improve
slower than expected.

Other analysts were extremely optimistic on
the stock.

Lehman Brothers analyst Neil Herman
reiterated a "strong buy" rating on the stock,
and upped his target price to $60 from $55 a
share.

"We believe potential investor concerns over
the modest upward revision to EPS guidance
are unwarranted as we believe this cautious
up-tick is a reflection of macro-economic
concerns," the analyst cautioned.

Herman praised the company's strong
demand. He left his already
well-above-consensus earnings estimates for
2001 unchanged, but said he believes
PeopleSoft could top his published
expectations for the next two years.

Goldman Sachs analyst Steven Kahl
maintained a "market outperformer" rating and
raised 2001 estimates slightly. His only caution
was that better visibility was needed on the
higher growth segments to sustain longer term
growth rates.

• PeopleSoft cruises past 4Q estimates
• PSFT chart
• PSFT Profile
• PSFT estimates



To: Susan G who wrote (2269)1/31/2001 12:35:38 PM
From: Connor26  Respond to of 5732
 
Mixed Reaction to PeopleSoft Report Includes Morgan Stanley Downgrade
1/31/01 12:05 PM ET

It's hard to please people, as PeopleSoft (PSFT:Nasdaq - news) discovered Wednesday morning. The business-management software firm was downgraded to neutral from outperform by Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, despite posting positive fourth-quarter results and 2001 guidance Tuesday.

Reaction from other analysts was mixed, but investors pushed the company's shares down $6.13, or 12.53%, to $42.75 in morning trading on the Nasdaq.

Merrill Lynch analyst Craig Wood also said the company's guidance for 2001 was "positive" but "not significantly ahead of what people were expecting," according to Reuters.




But UBS Warburg called the company's fourth quarter "impressive" and maintained its hold rating. Still, it warned that 2001 would be "more challenging" amid increasing competition.

US Bancorp also maintained its buy rating on PeopleSoft, which surpassed the brokerage's revenue and earnings expectations for the fourth quarter, while Lehman Brothers reiterated its strong buy rating and raised its price target to $60 from $55.

J.P Morgan analyst James Pickrel, who kept his buy rating on the company, raised his 2001 revenue estimates to $2.1 billion from $1.9 billion, and earnings-per-share estimates to 62 cents from 60 cents, saying he remains "enthusiastic" about his outlook for Peoplesoft. Pickrel also said Wednesday he believes the company "is ready to compete on equal footing" with rivals like Oracle (ORCL:Nasdaq - news) and SAP (SAP:NYSE ADR - news).



To: Susan G who wrote (2269)1/31/2001 12:36:39 PM
From: Connor26  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5732
 
don't forget its a SOFTWARE company - ha ha ha ha ha