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Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: James C. Mc Gowan who wrote (36554)1/31/2001 1:38:37 PM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 50167
 
Big day for some and a small day for others, we shall see our levels, come what it may be, 3028 break is our target, even a lesser cut will be acceptable as it will show that FED is least bothered, in my opinion a greater cut will be sold more aggresively as FED concerns will be mis-represented..a smaller cut can lead us to 1338 slip and back up to 1342 a bigger cut a run to 1400 and a slip to 1342 with some more slipage and move up from that.. but we can have million permutations and all will look most likely the game is about reading ' His' mind..

Zain and Zack had an idea too they have send me this e-mail..thye brought the Californian problem in the equation.. interesting read of this report..

From: "Latif Family" <.....@hotmail.com> | Block address | Add to Address Book
To: ilatif@yahoo.com
Subject: Re: reasons of california power outages..
Date: Tue, 30 Jan 2001 23:28:41 -0000

Dad,

We thought that Californian power problems will work on AG's mind, we have 'rehashed' this report from Yahoo. Hopefully, it will help you to understand that AG can give a surprise on the cuts. That is to say we can have deeper cuts.

Threats:

One sixth of the US economy is in danger of more power shortages, a
temporary idling of business activity and an interruption of the fuel
supply
necessary to keep the region's vital transportation system flowing. The
power blackouts interrupt business activity. The state of California
accounts for roughly 13% of US Gross Domestic Product
[GDP]. If power is a vital input to all of the state's economic
activity,
and electricity availability went to zero and stayed at that level for
the
entire first quarter, the level of US GDP would go down by 13%. For
each day
power is down, GDP would fall by -.5%.

Cause of problem:

The troubles facing California can be traced to the
deregulation of the utility industry in 1996 and its
effect on the state's two largest utilities-PG&E (PCG)
and Edison International (EIX). At that point, the two
California utilities were encouraged to sell their own
electricity generating facilities and turn to the open
market to buy the necessary power to supply to their
customers. In addition, the rates the utilities could
charge their customers were capped.
When costs of power soared in the open market, but the
utilities could not pass those increases on to
customers, the utility companies started to lose
money. Now, confronted with $11.5 billion in
power-buying debt because regulators won't let them
pass on all of their power costs to consumers, PCG and
EIX are in danger of bankruptcy. The
result has been a dwindling of power supplies and
rolling blackouts throughout the Golden State.

Solution:

The Federal Government has already
issued a directive that requires power generators and
natural gas companies to sell to the two California
utilities even though they are on the brink of
bankruptcy. Since the two
utility companies are no longer able to find loans to
finance the purchase of power, the state has stepped
in to buy it on their behalf.In an effort to do so,
the state of California conducted an auction on the
Internet.



To: James C. Mc Gowan who wrote (36554)1/31/2001 1:39:14 PM
From: Rich1  Respond to of 50167
 
According to CNBC Greenspan dropped rate 75 bps in November 94.