To: Poet who wrote (9377 ) 2/2/2001 9:34:03 AM From: hobo Respond to of 10876 Good morning Poet, i appreciate your comments. i like your thread i have learnt a great deal and expect to continue doing so. not only do i learn by the comments of others, but i find doing my own research that leads me to more knowledge. in addition, i also find the thread very civil without the "stuff" that goes on in the ...well... "other threads". politics and such i find them to be... well... best keep my opinion to myself. -gg- i like simple common sense thinking and what i find valuable about threads like this --market related topics-- is that if one is wrong about our opinions, the market proves us so not with a lengthy and pointy argument, but rather with a simple one and directed where it hurts the most. our own pocket book. --hard to argue against such ...er... clear and eloquent evidence. with that said... here is an article in the economist. i like this magazine, and i have to say that i will yet again, re-subscibe to it, i find i can not resist their writing, it is for the most part fair, objective and witty:economist.com Wishful thinking? Feb 1st 2001 From The Economist print edition Preventing a recession, if one is on the way, may be beyond the Fed ON THE ground floor of the Federal Reserve building in Washington, DC, is an electronic game which tests a visitor’s skill at setting interest rates. You decide whether to tighten or loosen monetary policy in response to events such as rising inflation, a stockmarket crash or higher unemployment. Get all the answers right and the machine declares you ready to be appointed chairman of the Fed. In real life, the correct answer is rarely so clear: huge uncertainties about when and by how much to change interest rates cloud the calculations—and never more so than now. As the American economy lurches from a breathtaking boom to what some fear may be slump, the Fed is cutting interest rates with unusual zeal. Will that be enough to avert recession? <snip> When the new president and his team moved into the White House they found that the previous occupiers had, among other acts of vandalism, wittily removed the letter “W” from lots of computer keyboards. That letter may be in particular demand this year, and not just for use in the president’s name. The V-shaped recovery the markets are counting on could turn out to be W-shaped, with a second, deeper downturn lying ahead. Better fix those keyboards right away.