Merril trying to give RIMM a HAND .....rofl
DJ MARKET TALK: Merrill Says RIMM Opportunity More Than Seen Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 1:49 (Dow Jones) After meeting with senior management of Research In Motion (RIMM), Merrill says company's opportunity is even bigger than Merrill thought. Winning only a small fraction of the voice handset market, which Merrill believes the company can achieve, should drive significant revenue and valuation upside over the next six to 18 months. Says financial model has substantial upside in calendar 2002, which makes valuation more reasonable. (TG) 1:38 (Dow Jones) Exchange volume figures show CME has surpassed CBOT volume for the month of January, with CBOT seeing volume of 20.9 million and the CME seeing volume of 31.7 million. A CME spokeswoman said the CME has beat the CBOT in monthly volume a few times in the past, but the CME has never had more volume than the CBOT for an entire year. (CMN) 1:27 (Dow Jones) Off-floor technical trader says March S&PS broke uptrend with the move under 1370. That suggests March S&Ps could fall to the 1340-1335 level soon. The short-term trend has turned down, but the intermediate trend remains bullish, as long as the market holds the 1335 level. (DMC) 1:16 (Dow Jones) Most mutual funds that invest in stocks rebounded in January after a difficult 2000, and some of last year's worst casualties staged the biggest rallies. Science and tech funds returned 9.38%, on average, in January after losing 33.92% in 2000. Telecom funds returned an average 14.2% in January, after falling 35.07% in 2000. "It was a reflex bounce as much as anything," said Lee Kopp, president of Kopp Investment Advisors. By comparison, the average diversified U.S. stock fund returned 2.71% in January after returning negative 1.67% in 2000. (AMB) 1:06 (Dow Jones) Stock weakness picking up pace. DJIA off 91 at 10892, Nasdaq Comp down 81 at 2701, and S&P 500 falls 18 at 1354. This week was huge for data, but with numbers out of the way and 1Q earnings winding down, not much to look for between now and FOMC in March, with the exception of specific data. Technically, the DJIA turning back after a brief move above the 11000 mark isn't so hot, and if the Nasdaq can't hold 2700 on the close, the index could set its sights on 2500. (TG) 12:54 (Dow Jones) The 0.2% increase in the unemployment rate was the result of a 300+K increase in the number of unemployed people in an essentially unchanged civilian labor force. This is the sharpest increase since April 1995 (+492K), and has only occurred three times in the last 10 years. With consumer credit at a record high percent of personal income (18%), the impact of any increase in unemployment has a magnified effect on consumption, which was the primary engine driving the recent expansion. (GK) 12:44 (Dow Jones) This may not be saying much, but Viad (VVI) can "outperform the economy," said Salomon Smith Barney analyst Michael Millman, who initiated coverage with a buy/high risk rating and set a $33 price target. The supplier of payment services should benefit from trends in immigration and bank check outsourcing, Millman said. Shares are up 66 cents to 24.35. (KJT) 12:31 (Dow Jones) Here comes the Sun, but other technology giants are not far behind. Sun Microsystems (SUNW) is down $1.13 to $30 in advance of a meeting with analysts next week. An observation by Bear Stearns analyst Andrew Neff may not be helping. International Business Machines (IBM) and Hewlett-Packard (HWP) are now focussing on the same Unix operating system that Sun has long embraced, Neff said in a note to clients. "It used to be a race with Sun running in one direction and the other two running in the opposite direction - now it's a race with all three running in the same direction." (KJT) 12:28 (Dow Jones) Compliments of an active Fed, CME set a record volume month in Jan at 31.7 million contracts. That's 76% above last Jan and up from the previous record of 27.8 million set in Sep '98. The jump in volume comes from a record pace in interest rate and equity products, 22.7 million and 6.6 million, respectively. Eurodollars themselves traded a record 17.5 million alone. (DMC) (DOW JONES) DJN: DJ MARKET TALK: Merrill Says RIMM Opportunity More Than Se DJN: DJ MARKET TALK: Merrill Says RIMM Opportunity More Than Seen Edited by Thomas Granahan Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES (Call Us: 201 938-5299; All Times Eastern) MARKET TALK can be found using code N/DJMT 1:49 (Dow Jones) After meeting with senior management of Research In Motion (RIMM), Merrill says company's opportunity is even bigger than Merrill thought. Winning only a small fraction of the voice handset market, which Merrill believes the company can achieve, should drive significant revenue and valuation upside over the next six to 18 months. Says financial model has substantial upside in calendar 2002, which makes valuation more reasonable. (TG) 1:38 (Dow Jones) Exchange volume figures show CME has surpassed CBOT volume for the month of January, with CBOT seeing volume of 20.9 million and the CME seeing volume of 31.7 million. A CME spokeswoman said the CME has beat the CBOT in monthly volume a few times in the past, but the CME has never had more volume than the CBOT for an entire year. (CMN) 1:27 (Dow Jones) Off-floor technical trader says March S&PS broke uptrend with the move under 1370. That suggests March S&Ps could fall to the 1340-1335 level soon. The short-term trend has turned down, but the intermediate trend remains bullish, as long as the market holds the 1335 level. (DMC) 1:16 (Dow Jones) Most mutual funds that invest in stocks rebounded in January after a difficult 2000, and some of last year's worst casualties staged the biggest rallies. Science and tech funds returned 9.38%, on average, in January after losing 33.92% in 2000. Telecom funds returned an average 14.2% in January, after falling 35.07% in 2000. "It was a reflex bounce as much as anything," said Lee Kopp, president of Kopp Investment Advisors. By comparison, the average diversified U.S. stock fund returned 2.71% in January after returning negative 1.67% in 2000. (AMB) 1:06 (Dow Jones) Stock weakness picking up pace. DJIA off 91 at 10892, Nasdaq Comp down 81 at 2701, and S&P 500 falls 18 at 1354. This week was huge for data, but with numbers out of the way and 1Q earnings winding down, not much to look for between now and FOMC in March, with the exception of specific data. Technically, the DJIA turning back after a brief move above the 11000 mark isn't so hot, and if the Nasdaq can't hold 2700 on the close, the index could set its sights on 2500. (TG) 12:54 (Dow Jones) The 0.2% increase in the unemployment rate was the result of a 300+K increase in the number of unemployed people in an essentially unchanged civilian labor force. This is the sharpest increase since April 1995 (+492K), and has only occurred three times in the last 10 years. With consumer credit at a record high percent of personal income (18%), the impact of any increase in unemployment has a magnified effect on consumption, which was the primary engine driving the recent expansion. (GK) 12:44 (Dow Jones) This may not be saying much, but Viad (VVI) can "outperform the economy," said Salomon Smith Barney analyst Michael Millman, who initiated coverage with a buy/high risk rating and set a $33 price target. The supplier of payment services should benefit from trends in immigration and bank check outsourcing, Millman said. Shares are up 66 cents to 24.35. (KJT) 12:31 (Dow Jones) Here comes the Sun, but other technology giants are not far behind. Sun Microsystems (SUNW) is down $1.13 to $30 in advance of a meeting with analysts next week. An observation by Bear Stearns analyst Andrew Neff may not be helping. International Business Machines (IBM) and Hewlett-Packard (HWP) are now focussing on the same Unix operating system that Sun has long embraced, Neff said in a note to clients. "It used to be a race with Sun running in one direction and the other two running in the opposite direction - now it's a race with all three running in the same direction." (KJT) 12:28 (Dow Jones) Compliments of an active Fed, CME set a record volume month in Jan at 31.7 million contracts. That's 76% above last Jan and up from the previous record of 27.8 million set in Sep '98. The jump in volume comes from a record pace in interest rate and equity products, 22.7 million and 6.6 million, respectively. Eurodollars themselves traded a record 17.5 million alone. (DMC) 12:20 (Dow Jones) Shares of Express Scripts (ESRX) have risen nearly 225% over the past year, but that's no reason to put off purchases, says Banc of America Securities analyst Partick Hojlo. He tells investors to "purchase the stock" ahead of the pharmacy management company's Feb. 7 earnings announcement and ups his price target to $120 from $95. The stock's now at $93.50, up $2.28 on the day. (KJT) 12:14 (Dow Jones) March Nasdaq adds to losses in light volume trade. That weakness is tearing down March S&Ps, floor trader says. He believes both markets are seeing new shorts enter. "We're down with unemployment and there's a lot time before the next FOMC meeting." (DMC) 12:12 (Dow Jones) American Express' (AXP) calls traded robustly Friday morning. Options volatility rose as investors bought these bullish calls on renewed takeover speculation, said a floor specialist who trades Amex options. American Express has been a persistent target of on-again off-again takeover rumors, linking it with Citigroup or Morgan Stanley. On Friday, the stock was ahead 3.4% or $1.63 to $49.13. Amex's February 50 calls were among the most heavily traded. At the American Stock Exchange, these calls gained 95 cents to $1.50 on volume of 5,314 contracts, with 8,133 contracts trading at other exchanges, compared with open interest of 7,406. Company officials weren't immediately available for comment. (KXT) 12:07 (Dow Jones) JagNotes.com Inc.'s (JNOT) battered stock fell 42% to 15 cents Friday after the company said it sold its webcast unit, JAGfn Broadband LLC, to CALP II Ltd. Partnership for about $1.5 million. The move could help stave off bankruptcy, but it eliminated a key hope for shareholders and underscored the company's dependance on an out-of-favor subscription-based business model. (RTR) 12:03 (Dow Jones) SG Cowen entertainment analyst Ed Hatch sees the CitySearch online city guide service as a potential catalyst for growth at USA Networks Inc. (USAI). According to a note from Hatch issued Friday, "if investors see the $50 MM of annual losses move toward zero in 12-15 months they will be excited." The business, focused on providing local information and transactions, could create 5% to 6% of growth on a $1 billion cash-flow base, Hatch says. (BS) 11:48 (Dow Jones) The slump in the stock market hasn't scared sell-side analysts away from online brokerage firms, as Banc of America Securities' Robert Sobhani just initiated coverage of the group. He is positive long-term, but cautious in the short term, saying brokers' hypergrowth era is over, but plenty of growth remains. He rates TD Waterhouse Group Inc. (TWE) and Knight Trading Group (NITE) as buys; and issues market-performer ratings on Charles Schwab Corp. (SCH), E*Trade Group Inc. (EGRP), Ameritrade Holding Corp. (AMTD) and CSFBdirect (DIR). All of these stocks were recently down, except for TD Waterhouse, which is up 2.3%. (GFC) |