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To: Teresa Lo who wrote (5523)2/8/2001 11:35:35 AM
From: Teresa Lo  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 8925
 
<font color=red>2001 Feb 08 Market Analysis Addendum

We post here a chart of the Nasdaq 100 Index Tracking Stock (QQQ). Note we did have a little volume spike yesterday, but the amount was not that high relative to prior lows.

In my observation, absolute lows are generally made in two ways. The first is a true high volume capitulation, as greed and fear grips the market, and there is blood on the streets. This usually happens on a test and break of a prior important low. The other is the low volume "who cares" kind of low, where all the participants have stopped looking, having given up hope long ago, and the market drifts to a new low.

In the case of the NDX, there are still too many people watching for the latter to have happened, and perhaps not enough fear and blood for the former to have taken place.

ispeculator.com

Teresa



To: Teresa Lo who wrote (5523)2/9/2001 9:54:07 AM
From: Trader X  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 8925
 
Good work, Teresa.

Don't think for a minute that all the hard work you put into this thread isn't appreciated. You manage to pull together a well thought out synopsis of where the market is and where it could go. Of course, a lot of others do that, but I suppose I like your TA analysis as well. Tends to validate my own thinking about market turns.

-TX