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To: bob zagorin who wrote (18072)2/8/2001 2:55:14 PM
From: pat mudge  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24042
 
Bob --

That's the best news I've seen in weeks. I'd sell my first-born for a copy of that report. :)

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excerpt from Verizon analyst mtg. report from w.r. hambrecht

"...Providing somewhat of a counterpoint to the gloom accompanying Cisco Systems earnings release, Verizon Communications, the nation’s second largest telecom carrier, held an analyst day in New York yesterday outlining the Company’s growth strategies and investment priorities. Our views regarding the implications for communications equipment suppliers are outlined below, but we feel it is safe to say that Verizon’s comments may justify the partial removal of the fork placed in the networking industry yesterday. Our focus remains on vendors targeting growth areas in both emerging and incumbent carrier budgets. Overall wireline capital spending increase. Verizon noted plans to spend $12.5-$12.7 billion on its wireline network in 2001, about a 4-5% increase over the $12.1 billion invested in 2001. This is about the same rate of growth in spending witnessed in 2000 versus the $11.5 billion in combined Bell Atlantic and GTE spending in 1999. Strong increases in spending on data/broadband networking and access. Driven by 30% revenue growth rates, spending on broadband and data networking gear is expected to increase 20% in 2000 to $4.7 billion. The bulk of this will likely be spent on current technologies such as DSL, optical networking, Frame Relay/ATM switching and IP routing gear. Spending on voice is expected to be down slightly but is still a huge number at $5.5 billion. Strong DSL subscriber growth. Verizon set a DSL subscriber target of 1.2-1.3 million for the end of 2001 versus 540,000 (original target 500,000) exiting 2000. This target, which we believe is conservative, translates into about 700,000 net adds for the year or more than a 50% increase. The Company also noted operational improvements in provisioning and customer services, which we believe could drive upside to the subscriber target.

Investment in new technologies. Verizon noted plans to begin investing in a number of new networking technologies in 2001, including OC-192 SONET and DWDM optical transport systems, voice over ATM technology for circuit switch replacement, remote terminal-based DSL technology and next generation optical cross connects. Verizon also noted a potpourri of technologies in the trial and evaluation stage, including voice and video over DSL, broadband fixed wireless, all optical/wavelength services, softswitch technology and advanced IP services.

In a time of some crisis in the communications infrastructure group, we found Verizon’s commentary to be a timely reminder of the growth potential of emerging networking technologies...."

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