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To: Walkingshadow who wrote (10003)2/10/2001 1:31:05 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13572
 
Thanks WS - I agree. Actually I went long today with a beaucoup of BRCD calls in anticipation of a Nas100 index addition runup. That is my only long, but if the market explodes up on monday I am sure BRCD will go up with it.

We have had 3-4 down days in a row and options expirations are coming up next week as well.

I am cashing out my PUTs on Monday.
I hope we get a big gap down and I can unload my PUTs at a great price. On a gap up, I will likely hold for a retrace back to at least even. Fortunately, except for RIMM, I am not in stocks that move very fast at all. Plenty of time to watch EMC, CLS, ANF , and IBM to decide the best time to bail.

As for a 3 week rally right now, I believe you are very very wrong. The bulls had a 3-4 week rally in Jan and it is the bears turn for 3-5 weeks of fun.

I just figured this out but it seems we have had month or month and 1/2 up, then month or month and 1/2 down for quite some time. Until these inventory problems dissipate, I see no reason for this pattern to change regardless of what the FED does. People are bouncing from extreme exuberance to extreme despair with these hard bounces.
I agree with Greg that we need st see some basing, or a washout before we have a firm bottom. If it happened tomorrow I would be thrilled, and not give a damn about my calls.

I am buying the next rate cut as I said, I am assuming you saw my "cool post of the day" for that one. At that time, after a retest of the bottom at 2200 (actually I think we might see 1800 by the first week in March), then yes, we can see another 4-6 weeks of rally.

As of right now I am extremely heavy in puts. Approaching 50%. I had my fun, time to lighten up.

M