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To: hobo who wrote (42498)2/10/2001 12:34:19 AM
From: Doug  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42787
 
toscano: The connection between interest rates and Tech stocks is far less transparent than its connection with the old economy. There is a phase delay far longer and more like 4-6 mths from the start of a recession/soft landing.

The date for the start of the so called recession is also unclear due to the dot.com bust. Some claim the recession began in late Oct ; some say Dec. What most can agree is that the TECH stocks should reach bottom half way between the recession/soft landing period. which normally is not less than 8 mths.

It is likely that the market should bottom 4 mths from Dec which brings it into April , the traditional second worst period for stocks.