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To: DownSouth who wrote (6592)2/12/2001 8:06:46 AM
From: Shaw  Respond to of 10934
 
Long term, short term/ TA, FA/ macro, micro/ sector, overall mkt/economy cycle, mkt valuation/ devaluation cycle/ Fed, private sector spending/ ect.

There are alot of relavant indicators out there, and alot of variables in play. Keep a focus, but continue to push the envelope of the box you think in.

Do all your homework, and read other's thoughts. When my best cross references with the unfolding reality, and others thoughts, professional and non, and mine and others thoughts start to move insinc, my confindence, that I am in the zone, grows.

To me this stock is right in the vortex much of of all that is critical in indicating the present health and growth of the cutting edge 21 century growth co.s.

Presently I am just looking for a good trade. I am seat of the pants, and have an unsophisticated orientation to many disciplines of investing style. The more these styles cross reference for me the more confident I get.

Finally I listen to my own experience and intuition. The human brrain still is an unsurpased weighing machine of multiple input.

The art becomes getting in the zone, if something works for someone, thats good enough for me.

The futures can give many false starts, to the mkt. and cause people to loose heart. Whether is through trading experience, or sticking with fundamentals that one doesn't get thrown off track or a combination, who cares.

Anyone who is long should welcome any buyers, what ever discipline they hale from, it all helps base building.

Presently I am just getting up to speed, in my own way, and looking for a bounce to start with. I have yet to buy, but today or tomorrow may be the day. I will know when I get there. I play the mkt long term and short term, but I have stayed away from shorting, because for vision clarity sake, I loose track of continuing tobe able to develope insite, regarding future positive developements, when I try to think as a shorter.

Short, term is like extreme skiing in an avalache at times, or like wind suffering in a hurricane, this present environment is a full contact sport, and constantly in motion three dementional chess.

When someone's site linked to SI, says they follow the mkt. through a correlation with neg and pos ions, I find that interesting. They say the mkt will go down to day, up for the middle of the week and down for the end. I won't bank on this, but its another factor for me. Greenspan speaks Tuesday, so that correlates. The mkt likes to move counter to what we think, so I will be on my guard, today. Who knows, but somehow after awhile, your intuition, homework, experience, and skill, come together and you know when you get the there.

A far more experienced and skilled trader than myself, a entry levle trader at times, says he won't enter NTAP until it hits 25. I was more positive about the conf. call than he was. But I will keep his in put in mind, if I enter somewhere in here, I realize that he reprsents a camp of buyers, that won't buy until 25.

There is an X factor though, that the long termers have as an edge. Coming products, whos ramifications, aren't fully reflected in the charts. Confidence, and understanding of the deep story, is the edge the long termers have.

Still learning, good luck