SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : WDC/Sandisk Corporation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wallace Rivers who wrote (19112)2/13/2001 4:56:06 PM
From: Art Bechhoefer  Respond to of 60323
 
The lower earnings figure is operating earnings, excluding one-time gains. However, the figure is not exact because, had there been no one-time gain from the sale of stock in a foundry, there would also be less total tax. So the figure of $1.31 is actually understated if you adjust for tax differences. That said, one may make several assumptions about further one-time gains (or losses) from shares held by SNDK. If they had to mark their remaining Taiwan foundry shares to market at the present time, they would take a one-time loss. If demand remains relatively strong for wafers made in Taiwan, then chances are very good that the stock will go up and possibly generate more "one-time" gains.

One of the characteristics of a slowdown in demand is that it can wreak havoc with the earnings of heavily leveraged companies. That is, if they've got a lot of loans out there, they have to make interest payments from less and less cash flow, which ultimately puts a hit on earnings available for the common stock. Or if they really get in trouble making payments, they may have to issue more stock, thereby diluting total earnings per share. SanDisk has consistently avoided such pitfalls, making it a lot safer, in terms of downside risk from lower earnings, than most smaller tech stocks. Their ability to generate positive cash flow year after year gives them a great credit rating and prevents dilution of existing shares. Yet these factors do not seem to be recognized in the current price of the stock. In other words, the performance of SNDK in terms of stock price deterioration is hardly any different from AMZN. Now THERE'S a stock in real trouble!

Art