SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : JDS Uniphase (JDSU) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: t2 who wrote (18493)2/14/2001 8:44:00 AM
From: Tunica Albuginea  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24042
 
NT: JDSU's partner:3rd time lucky? The all photon network.


canadianbusiness.com

Once a leading maker of telephone switching systems, Nortel transformed itself into an
Internet titan. Now, boss John Roth must win the race to develop the all-photon network


By Ian Austen | Issue date: Feb. 19, 2001

For its "What Do You Want The Internet To Be?" television ad campaign, some agency
smoothie persuaded Nortel Networks Corp. that featuring a bowler-hatted twerp in a field
with a cow was a good idea. But the communications equipment giant at least had the good
sense to eliminate most of the loony lyrics from the 1969 Beatles song "Come Together,"
leaving its swoopy bass line to fill the soundtrack. After all, what would viewers be
expected to think of Nortel president and CEO John Roth after hearing gibberish like "He
bag production/He got walrus gumboot"? Not to mention shareholders in the company
(TSE: NT), who are still trying to make sense of the blue-chip's precipitous slide last
year.

A little more than three years ago, Roth—after a near-religious conversion that involved
buying a used glove box for one of his vintage British sports cars through the
Internet—ordered up a now famous right-angle turn at Nortel, shifting its focus away from
voice network equipment to the Net. The result was a doubling of sales, Nortel's
transformation into arguably the world's leading network equipment maker and, for Roth,
more CEO of the Year awards than his credenza can likely contain. Now, the easy stuff is
over.

Nortel, headquartered in Brampton, Ont., is the world's biggest producer of optical
networks, which are the guts of the Internet. It likes to boast that it helps the Net move at
the speed of light. But that's only true up to a point. Since Roth became CEO in late 1997,
the company—aided and abetted by component makers such as JDS Uniphase Corp.—has
continually boosted the speed and the amount of information that streaks through fibre
cables to the point where several digital copies of the entire Encyclopedia Britannica can
now zap almost instantly around the world. What fibre fans don't like to talk about,
however, is that those networks to a large extent have all the elegance and efficiency of a
diesel-powered typewriter. Boosting those pulses of light—and all but the crudest traffic
direction of the data carried on fibre—creates bottlenecks, as photons (the essence of
light) are changed into electrons, run through computers and then are transformed back into
photons to complete their journey. (It's a bit like making a transcontinental journey with an
airline that occasionally lands the plane and then forces you onto a bicycle before
allowing you back to your economy-class seat for another liftoff.) The solution, and
perhaps the key to Nortel's future, is taming the photon. And there's no time to waste.

Shortly before Roth took over, Nortel opened a massive expansion of its R&D centre on
Ottawa's western fringe. Down in the sunlit lobby, Nortel conspicuously highlighted what
was then its crowning achievement: a giant DMS-100 digital telephone switch. With its
brown-and-avocado equipment racks sitting behind a long row of picture windows, the
sprawling DMS switch looked like an army of overgrown appliances that had escaped
from a '70s kitchen. If nothing else, it was impressive for its sheer size.

It was also impressive for being the product that created the modern Nortel. Before DMS,
telephone companies switched calls in their central offices with clackety
electromechanical machines that required careful and nearly constant cleaning and
adjustment. (For further information, or to at least see one in action, visit your local video
store and rent Alfred Hitchcock's Dial M for Murder.) But if kept cleaned and oiled, these
machines provided highly reliable service.

When Northern Telecom Ltd. (as Nortel was then known) unveiled the DMS in 1976, it
took a huge gamble. While its former corporate sibling Bell Canada was a likely customer,
the idea of digital switching wasn't warmly received by the famously conservative phone
industry. Even worse, the doubters included the then all-powerful AT&T Corp., which
dominated local and long-distance phone service in the US and was going slowly with
digital switch development at its own equipment division (today's Lucent).

Like most successful gamblers, Nortel got lucky. In 1984, AT&T was busted up by an
antitrust action. Suddenly, the US market was full of new phone companies that, in many
cases, were eager to do business with anyone but AT&T.

Getting the DMS switches into central offices, however, was only the beginning. Once the
telcos were hooked, Nortel was kept busy creating and selling them high-margin software
upgrades. Shut out of the long-distance market by the antitrust ruling, US-based telcos
were able to grow revenue by selling services dependent on Nortel's software. Among
them: allowing customers to spy on incoming calls, interrupt callers to take other calls,
and have their phone answered by the phone company. Less than a year after moving up to
Nortel's top spot, Roth made a subtle but telling gesture. At the R&D centre, blinds came
down on the picture windows displaying the DMS test-bed installation. Narrowband
switching—Internet engineers' idea of a slur—had become the crazy old aunt in the attic no
one talks about anymore.

When I met Roth that spring at Nortel's lab, he shared his thoughts about the company's
right turn (and the difficulty of buying parts for old cars with notoriously bad electrical
systems). He also offered the usual bromides about wanting the Net to seep into every one
of Nortel's corporate pores. With the exception of the stubborn software engineers who are
still dreaming up new ways for the DMS switches to make telephoning even more
unpleasant, that's probably true today. But the thing Roth really did after that meeting was
place another huge bet.

This time it was an engineer's kind of a wager. On the assumption that the Web was about
to become something more than a way for middle-age men to find car parts, Roth pushed
an optical networking technology that goes by the less-than-catchy name OC-192. In its
first version, OC-192 was at least four times faster than anything underway at Lucent. Fast
enough that if everyone in the US decided to make a phone call at the same time, an
OC-192 system could handle the load on a single strand of fibre.

But the market yawned. One of the first sales, to Denver-based Qwest Communications
International Inc., then a small but growing long-distance carrier, closed only because
Nortel offered unusually easy terms. Even at that, recalls Qwest's president of worldwide
operations Afshin Mohebbi, "People were laughing at both of us. They thought these
systems were too big for [the market].''

Of course, the fact that Mohebbi offered that recollection through a Nortel Webcast
suggests that everything worked out all right in the end. But again, luck was with Nortel.
While Roth had clearly predicted that there would be a huge rise in demand for
communications, no one knew just how big it would be. Similarly, the long-running stock
market boom that made it possible for new network operators to quickly raise huge
amounts of capital to buy goodies from Nortel also defied any credible prediction.

Now, of course, the spending spree has come under scrutiny. British Telecommunications
PLC, a Nortel customer in the UK, is so cash-short that it has put most of its real estate, a
portfolio valued at about £2 billion, on the market. In late January, AT&T reported a
US$1.7-billion loss for its fourth quarter. WorldCom Inc., the debt-heavy empire cobbled
together by Bernie Ebbers is, as it's politely put, retooling. Ebbers' favorite-son status in
his hometown of Edmonton is becoming as shaky as Peter Pocklington's. For John Roth,
business has never been more stressful.

When Nortel made its much anticipated fourth-quarter announcement in January, one
comment by Clarence Chandran, chief operating officer (and a leading contender to
replace Roth), passed unnoticed in press reports the next morning. The portion of the Net
where Nortel remains particularly weak is the router market. Routers are those specialized
computers that read the labels on the packets that data are broken into as they travel the
Net, and make sure they're sent along a path that leads to their intended destination. One
objective of Roth's US$9.1-billion purchase of California's Bay Networks Inc. in 1998
was to become a router player. But today that sector is, if anything, even more dominated
by Cisco Systems Inc. So, not unreasonably, an analyst at the Q4 announcement asked
Chandran what had become of the router strategy. Chandran didn't put it in so many words.
But he more or less confirmed the widespread belief that Nortel had ceded the router
market to Cisco. He did make clear, however, that the future was one thing: the
all-photonic network.

Not that Nortel can deliver that today. But even if the current downturn becomes more
severe and sustained, there's little doubt that a network that carries and directs traffic
purely as light is about as sure a thing as Nortel could hope for. Even better, it could also
give the company the same dominant position in smaller networks—metro networks, as
they're known in the trade—that it now enjoys in the national and global network market.

JDS Uniphase pointed the way. Its workforce has grown rapidly over the past four
years, in large part because it found one all-optical solution to a big problem for networks.
Unless it's boosted, a photon signal fades away after about 80 kilometres. JDS, however,
developed fibre optic components, such as lasers, that can do the amplifying job without
forcing the speedy photons to first be converted into electrons.


Still, there's a hitch as those photons approach their general destination. All but simple
bulk switching demands the awkward photon-to-electron conversion. Not only does that
involve a lot of expensive equipment, it slows the network down. Indeed, in some
scenarios, the fibre is so good at delivering data that it overloads the switches. To avoid
losing data, switches generally store the overflow in a digital inbox until they can deal
with it. The delays, in human terms, aren't all that long. But they're one of the many things
that conspire to make all video Webcasts look like jerky Max Headroom reruns.

An all-optical switch is the answer. And it wouldn't just be for the likes of a long-distance
carrier such as Qwest. Metro network operators—such as competitive local phone
companies—are also interested, although for somewhat different reasons. The more
switching they can do with photons, the greater the amount of fibre cable they can lay in
place of copper wires. Copper is much more expensive than fibre. And in crowded urban
centres, finding underground space to accommodate much larger (relative to their
information-carrying ability) copper cables is becoming increasingly difficult.
Deregulation has meant that a range of competitors is now fighting for position beneath city
streets.

The fact that no one has pulled this off yet indicates that building the all-photon network
won't be easy. For big switching—separating the packets destined for Manitoba from the
ones en route to BC—Nortel and others currently use a trick to boost the capacity of fibre
and make things manageable. With so-called Dense Wave Division Multiplexing, every
strand of wire simultaneously carries several different wavelengths—effectively different
colors—of light. (This works because unlike radio waves, say, light waves ignore each
other.) So you assign the Manitoba packets a specific wavelength and, as they approach
Winnipeg, use some kind of optical filter to divert them on their way.

But that's a long way from the ultimate solution: a system that can read and divert packets
when they're photons rather than electrons. A system, in short, that could make Cisco's
electronic routers as obsolete as mechanical adding machines. With microphotonics, as
this dream is sometimes called, things get very murky. Much of the related lab research
now underway involves quantum mechanics, the branch of physics that deals with atomic
and subatomic particles and where nothing seems real. (A particle can be in two places at
the same time? Yeah, sure, tell us another one.)

One thing's for certain: making optical switching a reality is going to take lots of money.
Not only will developing an optical switch eat up internal R&D budgets, it most certainly
will involve further acquisitions. Fortunately Nortel still has the touch when it comes to
attracting money. Its late-January decision to raise $1 billion in debt was warmly greeted
by the stock market. Similarly, if Nortel goes ahead with long-promised plans to spin off
part of its optical components business (like JDS, it makes the widgets that are cobbled
together with fibre and Nortel software to make a network), expectations are that the
company could pull in between $2.5 billion and $4 billion.

Of course, having a big bankroll and a good track record are no guarantee of future
success. The same kind of praise that's been coming Nortel's way over the past year was
going to Lucent back when Roth started his right turn. Since then, Lucent's been mired in a
series of mishaps (see "The lessons of Lucent" ) and fallen far behind in the optical
market. That's not to suggest, however, that you can now count it out of the photon
switching race. If nothing else, Lucent has unmatched depth when it comes to science. And
as Nortel did after Paul Stern (the former CEO who has since been all but airbrushed from
the corporate photos) severely chopped R&D, Lucent may learn from its mistakes.

It's also unlikely to be the only challenger. While Nortel seems disproportionately big
within Canada, several of its international competitors are of comparable scale. On top of
that, there are newcomers such as Nokia Corp. and Cisco who might want to expand their
product lines. A merger between, say, France's Alcatel and Finland's Nokia could provide
a powerful competitor. Depressed stock prices make such a move even easier to digest.

Meanwhile, there's always the potential for Nortel to lose its focus. As head of the world's
No. 2 wireless systems supplier, Roth is, not surprisingly, pushing the concept of
high-speed wireless Web access, the "wings of light" (don't ask). Part of the attraction, of
course, is the US$16.5 billion spent in a recent US government auction for new wireless
radio spectrum. (A similar auction raised $1.48 billion in Canada.) But in Europe, where
cell phone use is rampant compared with North America and wireless networks are far
more advanced, only 0.5% of French subscribers sign up to receive the Web on their
phones. Although British and German spectrum auctions generated unexpectedly high
returns for those governments, the current auction in France has been mostly notable for
bidders withdrawing.

But assuming Nortel plays it smart, and is lucky for a third time, the potential for
all-photon network products is enormous. Among other things, cracking the photon
switching problem would be a major step toward developing a whole new branch of
computing based on light. The idea of a communications gear maker leading the way is not
without precedent. (It was Bell Laboratories, now part of Lucent, that invented the
transistor.) But even if Nortel doesn't actually reshape the face of computing, a successful
move into the all- photonic network should allow it, if nothing else, to buy some decent
new ads.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



To: t2 who wrote (18493)2/14/2001 8:49:11 AM
From: Tunica Albuginea  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24042
 
Financial Post:Clarence Chandran Meet NT's No.2, future No.1


nationalpost.com

World makes COO go round
Nortel's No. 2 guy travels constantly on way to top


David Olive, Senior Writer
Financial Post


It has been half a year since Clarence Chandran was named second in command at
Nortel Networks Corp., becoming the logical candidate to succeed John Roth when he
retires as chief executive.
Meantime, Mr. Roth now had a chief operating officer to
help shoulder the load of running a company that has roughly tripled in size over the past
six years.

nationalpost.com

MAN OF MANY MOVES: 'I'm probably the most virtual Nortel executive,' says
globe-trotter Clarence Chandran.
So what distinct roles have these two men carved out for themselves -- Mr. Roth, the
soft-spoken engineer who radically transformed a staid telecom supplier into an Internet
trailblazer, and Mr. Chandran, 51, an ebullient salesman, deal maker and details-oriented
administrator?

nationalpost.com

Clarence Chandran, Nortel's chief operating officer, says there is no problem getting rid of
operations once revered in the company.
"You know, we've never actually sat down and discussed that, which I guess is a bit of an
odd thing," Mr. Chandran said in discussing at length this week, for the first time, his
agenda at the company.

And there's a good chance they never will.

"We're intuitively on the same page," Mr. Chandran says of his relationship with Mr. Roth,
whom he has known pretty much since his first day at Nortel, 15 years ago.

"We might sometimes tackle problems from different perspectives, but we generally come
to the same conclusions," says Mr. Chandran, who could easily be mistaken for a clone of
his boss.

After all, many of Mr. Chandran's career successes, from 1985 to Mr. Roth's decision to
appoint him last year as chief operating officer, have originated with tough assignments
handed to him by the current CEO. "Let's just say I've caught more than one Hail Mary pass
from John," Mr. Chandran allows.

Both men have a laser-like focus on Nortel's future as a leader in all-optical networks, a
jarring departure from the company's pioneering work in circuit-based switching
equipment. And they are equally committed to the heresy of using acquisitions to quickly
get their hands on technologies that Nortel's own legion of in-house researchers could have
developed if given enough time.

The Wall Street Journal this week described Nortel as a "monster" company, along with
such merger-inspired giants as Bank of America, WorldCom Inc. and DaimlerChrysler AG
-- firms that have struggled to manage rapid growth.


The expansion strategy plotted by Messrs. Roth and Chandran has similarly put Nortel at
risk of growing too big too quickly.
That's what happened at Nortel's crisis-stricken rival
Lucent Technologies Inc., based in Murray Hill, N.J., where explosive growth was
accompanied by cost overruns, infighting among research and development teams and
confused reporting lines as the number of managers and business units proliferated.

As Nortel's own revenue soared to US$30.3-billion in 2000, Mr. Roth and Mr. Chandran
have subjected their company to repeated rounds of layoffs in a bid to keep the firm
streamlined. And neither man appears to have any qualms about shedding businesses that
once formed the bedrock of the company but that top executives came to regard as a
distraction.

"One of the things that's in our genes is that we have absolutely no reluctance about tearing
down things we've built if they're no longer relevant to our core mission," says Mr.
Chandran. He has been Mr. Roth's point man in Nortel's unprecedented Canadian raid on
talent-rich U.S. firms, but has also spearheaded the disposition of operations once revered
within the company.


"We are good, and getting better, at letting go," he says. "You've got to be able to let go."

Bay Street has been startled by some of the workplace cuts, coming so soon after a
takeover blitz that saw Nortel lavish more than US$15-billion on the purchase of more
than a dozen tech firms in the United States and Canada. Nortel seems to be a company that
is growing and shrinking at the same time, an apparent contradiction that has spooked some
investors, contributing to the sharp decline in Nortel's share price, from a peak of $124.50
last summer to yesterday's close of $46.20.


Mr. Chandran's promotion to chief operating officer was greeted with enthusiasm by
stock-market analysts, who saw a lack of similar succession planning at Nortel rivals
Lucent and Cisco Systems Inc. as a liability. When the mounting troubles at Lucent
prompted its board to fire CEO Richard McGinn last year, there were no candidates ready
to step into the breach. Mr. McGinn's predecessor as CEO was recalled to serve as
interim leader.

But the activities that won Mr. Chandran his promotion have kept him out of the spotlight,
and he has continued to be something of an unknown quantity, unable to readily assist Mr.
Roth in reassuring investors during the subsequent collapse in telecom-related stocks.

The new No. 2 at Nortel is not, as it happens, an exact copy of Mr. Roth, the man who has
relied heavily on Mr. Chandran to lead the company's push into Internet-related
communications, and in particular to become the world's dominant supplier of fibre-optic
networks.

While Mr. Roth continued to serve as the public face of the company, Mr. Chandran has
kept up with his behind-the-scenes work in negotiating takeovers and, in an unusual role
for a dealmaker, in remaining on the scene to integrate the newly acquired firms into
Nortel's R&D, product development and marketing structure.


After the takeovers have been put to bed, and the headlines are all gone, someone's got to
stick with these acquisitions and make them work," says a Nortel insider.
"That has been
one of Clarence's strengths, but it has been nitty gritty work that didn't get much attention
outside the company."

In the months since Nortel began its latest drive to rationalize its operations, competitors
such as Lucent and Cisco have seen their sales go flat or tail downward as the North
American economy has weakened. The sudden halt in the dynamic growth that
characterized the industry over the past two years has exposed faulty growth strategies,
most notably at Lucent. In contrast to the deliberative pruning of assets at Nortel, the
cutbacks and asset disposals at Lucent have been haphazard and more drastic.

At its Canadian rival, outsourcing of low-margin manufacturing tasks has been largely
offset by continued hiring in fibre optics, the key technology

in the US$1-trillion project to
==============================

build a next-generation Internet
that will be more reliable, functional and easier-to-use
than the current version.

"We always knew this would be a painful transition for our industry," Mr. Chandran says.
"What we're talking about is not a paradigm shift, which merely creates new markets. This
is paradigm violence. People are skeptical about exactly which new technologies are
required, and whether they will work."


In the next breath, however, Mr. Chandran reveals himself as a true cyberspace believer.
"The Internet is already pervasive," he says. As it becomes more rugged and reliable, like
today's phone system, the Internet will absorb more conventional telecommunications
systems -- as early as five years from now. "The first to disappear," he says, "will be the
internal corporate and institutional networks, that horrible word 'Intranet.' The internal
data networks used by businesses, hospitals, governments and libraries will be abandoned
as the public Internet is brought right into every organization."


Today's coaxial cable networks will likewise be subsumed, as "news and entertainment
are delivered over the Internet to your personal computer, TV set and handheld devices,"
says Mr. Chandran. "Telephone area codes and fax addresses will disappear, they'll be
hidden as Internet protocol (IP) addresses. So when you're trying to reach me, you'll no
longer be hunting around to find my phone number at home, or at the office, or on the road.
You'll just use a typewritten or oral command, 'Find Clarence Chandran.'"


This is going to require a tremendous increase in bandwidth capacity, which is already
strained by the current doubling in Internet traffic every 100 days. It's going to require the
elimination of bottlenecks and speed bumps in the existing Internet, in which the retrieval
of data requires a signal to make 15 to 20 hops through routers, switches, servers and other
equipment. "The history we're going to make at Nortel is to perfect the all-optical network
so that we eliminate those hops, expanding the bandwidth and driving the cost of
transmission through the floor," says Mr. Chandran.


"Our competitive advantage is a world-class ability to take a technology that's new and
untried and make it bulletproof, so it can work without fail in critical applications" for
Nortel clients that include the U.S. Federal Reserve Board, the New York Stock Exchange
and airline reservations and logistics systems around the world.

Born in Pakistan of Indian parents, Mr. Chandran was an army brat whose father, an
officer in the Indian military, relocated the family every year and a half before he retired,
at which point he brought them to Canada.


Nortel plucked Mr. Chandran from Bell Canada for his skills in salesmanship, and it
wasn't disappointed.
He had barely arrived when Mr. Roth, then in charge of global
product lines, challenged him to find a way of cracking the market for switching systems
among non-telco clients. Mr. Chandran landed a contract to install a private branch
exchange at Sheraton's flagship hotel in Toronto, and it wasn't long before Sheraton
ordered PBXs for the hundreds of other hotels in its chain.

Promoted to head Nortel's sleepy Caribbean and Latin America operation, which Mr.
Chandran now recalls as suffering from "a country club atmosphere," he again responded
to Mr. Roth's insistence that Nortel make inroads in a market it had long neglected.

Mr. Chandran, often with Mr. Roth at his side, called on potential clients whom they lured
away from Ericsson in the wireless market. One of his proudest moments, in the early
1990s, was to persuade a skeptical Nortel board to expand in Brazil, despite its volatile
currency and 1,000% inflation rate. "I was getting walloped in that meeting, they thought I
was crazy, until a couple of outside directors who had worked in Brazil and both spoke
Portuguese agreed with me about Brazil's dynamic potential," he says.

During his tenure in Latin America, Nortel's sales grew from $100-million to $1-billion.
Mr. Chandran was dispatched to bolster sales in the Pacific Rim and then Europe, where
Nortel is now the second-largest builder of third-generation wireless networks.

The career salesman then gained a reputation for sharp administrative skills after being
parachuted into Nortel's flagship manufacturing facility at Research Triangle Park in
Raleigh, N.C., the then troubled global centre for many of Nortel's switching devices.

Many of those devices, the bread and butter of the pre-Internet Nortel, were threatened
with obsolescence by the disruptive shift to IP-based equipment, and Mr. Chandran
oversaw a drive to upgrade them for the Internet world. In doing so, he clashed with
engineers and marketers who were resistant to change, and many of them parted ways with
the company. "Chandran has been given a succession of difficult assignments," says one of
his Nortel colleagues. "He bucked tradition in shedding outdated products and
streamlining businesses through layoffs. He comes across as a gracious, diplomatic man,
but he also made the tough calls."


Mr. Chandran also "paid a price," he says, for a peripatetic career that even now keeps
him in an "office in the sky" much of the time, spending only two days a month at Nortel's
headquarters in Brampton, west of Toronto.

Mr. Chandran doesn't talk about a 1997 incident in which burglars invaded the Singapore
home of a Nortel executive with whom he was staying, in which he was repeatedly
stabbed in the chest and stomach. "I'd just as soon close the book on that one," he said soon
after. He does express concern about not spending enough time with his wife Beverley and
their three sons, all of whom were born in Canada.

But "the clients aren't here," he said this week in Brampton. He makes three customer calls
a day, on average, and more clearly resembles globetrotting Nortel CEOs such as Walter
Light and Edmund Fitzgerald than Mr. Roth, a Lethbridge native and relative homebody
who turned down offers of foreign postings. "I'm probably the most virtual Nortel
executive," Mr. Chandran says.


Mr. Chandran feels vindicated in his most recent assignment, negotiating the high-priced
acquisitions of firms that provided Nortel with the components that back Nortel's claims of
being better suited than rivals to build the industry's most rugged and flexible networks.

"A significant number of acquisitions that companies make never achieve their potential,
never see the light of day, because the acquirer has not been able to commercialize the
product," says Mr. Chandran. "Our track record in ramping up our acquisitions has been
unmatched."


These advances spur Mr. Chandran on in his speculations about, for instance, the day when
entertainment giants such as AOL Time Warner and Vivendi Universal, a new Nortel
client, will launch a strategy for storing their wares in thousands of substations, or storage
area networks, as a more cost-effective means of delivering content and personalizing it
for their subscribers. "AOL Time Warner is going to be the world's biggest Internet hog,"

says Mr. Chandran.

"But other content providers, along with financial services companies, retailers and
public-sector institutions, won't be far behind. You look at a small revolution such as the
decision by Harvard University to put its 93 libraries on line so that students can access
miles of stacks from a laptop in their dorm and you appreciate the voracious demand for
bandwidth that we're confronted with. And only an all-photonics network holds the
promise of delivering that."


Mr. Chandran says he's having less trouble now in finding the "disruptive customers who
want you to help them break all the rules, who have a sense of urgency.

Today we have customers who won't wait,
=================================
and we have to stay ahead of them.
==============================
It's like clay-pigeon shooting,

=====================
which I first learned when I was 12.

"If you shoot directly at the target, you will miss it for sure. It's the same with new-product
development, you have to shoot ahead of the target, to where the customer is going to be,
not where he is now. You can't start late with a brilliant idea.

Customers are moving too fast to let you do that."
============================================



To: t2 who wrote (18493)2/14/2001 10:32:01 AM
From: CAtechTrader  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 24042
 
t2...you are right...the Golden Rule is to always buy the 3rd cut (and conversely, always sell the 3rd rise). You literally buy on the news of the 3rd cut...not in anticipation of it...funny how that works, but work it does. Just FYI.