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Technology Stocks : Global Crossing - GX (formerly GBLX) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RobertSheldon who wrote (9908)2/15/2001 4:41:54 PM
From: jopawa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15615
 
guzman and co comments on gx:

biz.yahoo.com

edit: almost sorry i posted this link, as i listen to the "analyst" i realized this is the same guy on the cc that sounded so amateurish, he may know his stuff, but his delivery is pathetic.



To: RobertSheldon who wrote (9908)2/15/2001 4:46:01 PM
From: charger  Respond to of 15615
 
That's a big "if" and a lot of time and precisely why the stock can't get off its arse IMO.



To: RobertSheldon who wrote (9908)2/15/2001 5:43:42 PM
From: DWB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15615
 
Something that caught my eye... please check my math...

From the Asia Global Crossing Quarterly...

Consolidated capital expenditure on a cash basis for 2001 is expected to be $850 to $925 million, including East Asia Crossing construction costs of $600 to $625 million and Pacific Crossing upgrade costs of $100 to $125 million. The amount of capital expenditure on East Asia Crossing reflects an acceleration of the company's previous build-out plan. The remaining $150 to $175 million of capital expenditures are primarily costs for development and construction of terrestrial networks, IP-services rollout, and network operating centers.

and from GX's release...

The Company also reaffirmed its previously announced plans to make capital expenditures of approximately $10 billion in the aggregate for 2000-2001. Capital spending for continuing operations during 2001 (including spending by its Asia Global Crossing subsidiary) is expected to be approximately $4.9 to $5.1 billion, an amount that includes approximately $1 billion of previously announced capital
spending from the 2000 capital program for which payments will be made in 2001.


So I see the following...

GX spends $5.1 billion in 2001 on capital expenditures
$1 billion of that is really 2000 dollars that didn't get paid....
another $925 million belongs to AGCX...
which leaves ~$3.2 billion as the actual GX expenditure value in 2001...
Since they stated that 2000-2001 will see a total of $10 billion spent...

$10 billion = $6.8 billion + $3.2 billion... means their capital expenditures are drying up quickly, and they'll be seeing a TON of additional free cash in the very near future...if they just stick with the 2001 rate on a recurring basis (which seems high to me....) If 2002 saw just $1-$2 billion in additional capital costs, that would still be a $4 to $5 billion dollar difference from the spending rate as of FY 2000...

DWB