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Technology Stocks : Lucent Technologies (LU) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DHB who wrote (17723)2/20/2001 9:13:58 PM
From: Kenneth E. Phillipps  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 21876
 
Lucent's Agere May Record `Significant' 2nd Qtr Loss (Update8)
By Miles Weiss

Washington, Feb. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Agere Systems Inc., the Lucent
Technologies Inc. unit whose planned initial stock sale is expected to be the
second-biggest in U.S. history, may record a ``significant'' operating loss in
the fiscal second quarter as customers cancel orders.

Agere, Lucent's fastest-growing business, said in a filing that it expects sales
to fall in the second quarter, ending March 31, from the first. Agere makes
semiconductors for communications equipment and components used in
fiber-optic networking gear.

The company's IPO comes as many customers and rivals slash sales and
profit forecasts. Facing a weaker U.S. economy, telecommunications
companies are spending less on the networking equipment made by Lucent
and Nortel Networks Corp. The slowdown also cut demand for lasers, chips
and parts used in the gear.

``This has to be one of the worst possible times to do an IPO,'' said Walter
Casey, an analyst with Banc One Investment Advisors Inc. ``They have a
tough road ahead here.''

The company narrowed the price at which it will sell shares to $16 to $19 from
a $15-to-$20 range it set this month, according to the filing at the Securities
and Exchange Commission.

Allentown, Pennsylvania-based Agere will offer 222.7 million Class A shares in
the IPO, set to occur by the end of March. Morgan Stanley Dean Witter &
Co., the underwriter, will offer as many as 147.7 million shares, a stake it will
obtain in exchange for Lucent debt.

Lucent will distribute its remaining Agere stake to shareholders by Sept. 30.

Slack Demand

Agere said it's experiencing slack demand for its products from ``a number of
our large customers,'' which include Lucent, Nortel and Motorola Inc. These
companies probably will look to reduce inventories of chips and optical
components ``in response to weakness in their markets,'' the filing said.

``It's not encouraging,'' said Bill Burt, an analyst with Eaton Vance
Management Inc., which owns Lucent shares. Agere's customers ``are
cyclical growth companies, and these are not good times.''

Lucent shares slid 33 cents to $12.34 on the New York Stock Exchange.
They've tumbled 75 percent in the past year.

Shares of Avaya Inc., the No. 1 U.S. maker of corporate phone equipment,
have fallen 38 percent since the company's spin off from Lucent on Sept. 30.

Agere's sales fell to $1.36 billion for the fiscal first quarter ended Dec. 31, from
$1.49 billion for the fourth quarter ended Sept. 30, according to a registration
statement filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Revenue from Agere's optical components business rose to $424 million for
the first fiscal quarter of 2001 from $393 million during the fourth quarter.
Semiconductor sales fell to $938 million in the first quarter of 2001 from $1.09
billion in the fourth quarter of 2000.

Gross Profit

Gross profit, calculated after deducting the direct costs of revenue, declined to
$574 million in the first fiscal quarter of 2001 from $715 million in the fourth
quarter of 2000. As a result, gross profit as a percentage of revenue, otherwise
known as gross margin, fell to 42.1 percent in the first quarter from 48 percent
in the fourth quarter.

Agere said the decline in revenue would trigger a drop in operating income,
which includes amortization of goodwill and other acquired intangibles. This
may result in the significant operating loss for the second quarter, the filing
said.

Agere had reported an operating loss of $3 million for the first fiscal quarter
after deducting $111 million for the amortization of goodwill and other
intangibles. The company also had an operating loss of $286 million for the
third quarter ended June 30, 2000, which included a one-time expense of $435
million for research and development projects the company inherited through
acquisitions of other businesses.

The company also said it expects inventories to rise in the second fiscal
quarter as a result of rescheduled delivery dates for products that have already
been made.