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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (69793)	2/21/2001 12:15:08 AM
From: Casaubon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Zeev, what was the peak to trough change from the 66 top to the ultimate bottom in the dow?

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (69793)	2/21/2001 12:23:19 AM
From: Pete Russo	Respond to of 99985

Thats what Mark Bollinger was referring to in your post.He said it could take years for high tech stocks to go back to their levels from last year. Very sobering thoughts.

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (69793)	2/21/2001 12:24:07 AM
From: bobby beara	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

Bobby, I think that last March was exactly like 1966, a top>>> well damm then zeev u shud start turning a little more bullish on gold wile there are only 13% bulls -g- i no u won't wait till there 80% bulls --g

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (69793)	2/21/2001 1:46:48 AM
From: Psycho-Social	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Last March like Jan '66 top: Personally I use '68 as the final inflation-adjusted high, with the S&P as the benchmark, but there's no disputing that little progress was made after Jan'66. Using the charts of immigration-adjusted birth rates in Harry Dent's Roaring 2000's books, however, I conclude that we're not yet in the comparable period of the (approx) 40 yr birth cycle. Annualized birth rates plateaud between 1957-61 in the 5 to 5.1 million range, and rose moderately from 2.8 to 3.5 million in the late 30's and early 40's. Thus, we are undergoing a significant narrowing of the investor vs divestor spread, but the number of people entering their 40's still greatly outnumbers the # about to retire. My conlusion: demographic forces are still positive but weakening.