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To: John Graybill who wrote (70446)2/22/2001 3:33:45 PM
From: John Graybill  Respond to of 436258
 
CNN poll results so far: looks like 62% think Dung 2000 or higher is the bottom. 60% think "the greenspan put" is still the silver bullet. Let loose the bears!

-------------------------

Just when investors thought the worst was over for tech stocks, warnings from tech titans Cisco Systems and Nortel have sent the Nasdaq spiraling to a 2-year low. How are you reacting to the latest market sell-off?

1. How have you dealt with the latest market sell-off?
total responses to this question: 2260

Nothing.
51.59%
Bought
stocks.
34.42%
Sold stocks.
18.32%
Bought
bonds.
3.54%
Sold bonds.


2. How low will the Nasdaq go this year?
total responses to this question: 2283

2,001-2,250.
37.93%
It has already
hit bottom.
25.80%
1,751-2000.
23.04%
Below 1,500.
6.96%
1,501-1,750.
6.26%

3. What will it take to revive the markets?
total responses to this question: 2259

Improving
consumer
confidence.
68.75%
More
interest rate
cuts.
59.89%
Income tax
cuts.
33.20%
A
capitulation
day when
the Nasdaq
loses 10
percent.
15.71%



To: John Graybill who wrote (70446)2/22/2001 3:34:48 PM
From: chic_hearne  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
But according to historic P/E ratios calculated by researchers at the Nasdaq Stock Market and tracked by Ned Davis Research, the Nasdaq Composite in the late 1980s and early 1990s never traded above 50 times trailing earnings. Its average P/E ratio since the end of 1985, in fact, is about 51. If the index were to fall back to that level, its value would fall below 1000 -- to between 800 and 900.

from wsj.com

*******************

What amazes me is when the Naz was over 5000, everything was properly valued. Now when it's off 60% they are trying to say it could be cut in half again after looking at some historical prices. Is this what passes as quality reporting? Can I get paid to spit out mundane facts like this a year to late?



To: John Graybill who wrote (70446)2/22/2001 3:39:00 PM
From: AllansAlias  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
LOL. According to that survey 85% have either done nothing or have bought the dip.



To: John Graybill who wrote (70446)2/22/2001 4:06:56 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
<<CNNfn survey: How low can NASDAQ go?>>

But John, they didn't have the right answer to "what will make the 'Dung go up?", namely wait 10 years, survive a deflationary depression and debt bubble implosion, and avoid further permissive monetary policy!<G>