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Gold/Mining/Energy : Nuvo Research Inc -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: David Graham who wrote (6790)2/22/2001 9:32:55 PM
From: Montana Wildhack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 14101
 
Hi David,

You'll see that by the post before I'm not bearish
on Dimethaid at all. I have no plans to sell anything
except the usual in/out stuff.

I can't comment on what Jeff said, but I have been asked
by enough people to help keep an eye on margin threats
that I warn when I think its necessary.

I hear what your saying; but, I don't see what market
sentiment has to do with long term value investing and
I also don't believe we're a week away from the bottom
of this market.

I couldn't agree more that there is a psychology to
the market. The bad news is not done though. I mentioned
the key factors. No money coming in last week of RSP.
.06 inflation is 7.2% annualized. The huge layoffs are
just starting to be announced. Most companies are just
beginning to action those and haven't seen the cost
cuts yet. The slowdown isn't mature yet and any rally
at this point will be short lived.

This isn't me being bearish yet. It's too early. That
1% cut is months away from having an effect. Check
the purchasing and inventories.

I have a lot of confidence in the US. It's a powerhouse
that's serious about economics. This won't take too long
for the big corporations. They've pulled in their buying,
they're going to deplete inventories, they're trimming
expenses, and have had their haircuts sharewise for the
loss of growth rates.

Like all people who get blinded by the glitter, the US
believed they may have abolished the business cycle
and found the nirvana of continuous growth.

Here comes reality. Growth always follows a moving sine
wave. It always will. Here's why. Human beings push it
past sustainability. We always want more right now. Its
built into our genes (Mark?) from the millions of years
that hoarding made sense.

The US more than any other country is set up to keep those
periods short. But there are real indicators that show
when that starts to turn and they're not saying that yet.

I'm not affected. I only want the Euro to grow versus
both the US and Cdn dollar and I want the US dollar to
remain strong versus the Canadian dollar.

More revenue for Dimethaid.

Come on March!

Wolf