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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Doug who wrote (70357)	2/24/2001 1:50:36 PM
From: JRI	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

"3 to 6 months"...I'm well aware of that...that why (hopefully it was clear) that I believe we still have a consumer crunch (to work thru) later this year.. Combined with layoffs, consumer debt levels, and a lack of a big recovery in equity markets, this could have a pretty major drag on consumer spending, and impact or even offset the impact from AG's cuts... But that's the consumer side. Another question is: Will rate cut decreases really effectively help business inventory overhang problem in so many industries, or are these overhangs more secular (and not cyclical)....and a function of mal-investment, which could actually be made worse/prolonged by too easy money? "pushing on a string"?