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To: Maher Sid-Ahmed who wrote (5499)	2/25/2001 3:17:55 PM
From: John Chen	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 6180

Maher,re:"PE alone...". Agree and thanks for the other numbers. Also agree on the 'market phsychology'. But in a 'Bear market', it's not as absolute certain as before. My question would be the 'money supply'. Say AG put in $10000 (figuratively) to keep a person living reasonably well a year. This guy spend $100000 because he sees more are coming, easily. Now AG seeing some trouble and stop the money supply ( last year's tightening) and now trying to correct by pumping back some slowly. What AG don't know is the whole market is expecting him to put in '$100000' per person on the average to keep those people afloat. $10000 just don't cut it anymore. AG is at a delima here. No, we are not Japan, sure. We spend like crazy here and Japanese don't spend. (Can you blame them with those high price real-estate price? Nobody has money left after paying those rent) Then can you blame U.S consumer when the 'income' and 'expense' curve 'CROSSED'. (One on the way up and one on the way down). AG: we need to crank the money printer, 7/24/365, ASAP. BTW:(Edit): Also note that, during the 'last 6 months' or so, the 'market psychology' backfired 'many times'.

To: Maher Sid-Ahmed who wrote (5499)	2/25/2001 4:04:47 PM
From: wolfdog2	Respond to of 6180

<<depressive manic >> Maher, the manic phase in bipolar depression is the euphoric swing counter balancing depression. Manic is not another word for or modifier of depression. It is the opposite.