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Technology Stocks : WorldGate Communications, Inc. (WGAT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Benny Baga who wrote (515)2/26/2001 12:18:25 PM
From: John Liu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 589
 
Anyone have any thoughts on what would be a catalysts for WGAT to move up? It seems GMST, OPTV and LBRT have alot better PR then WGAT.

Thanks,

John



To: Benny Baga who wrote (515)2/26/2001 5:00:47 PM
From: Mkilloran  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 589
 
benny...GMST is the safest since it has real revenues and positive earnings. But IMO their future is very bright and
much of the future has NOT been priced into this stock.

IATV (ACTV) ..growth rate est is more than 90% looking forward.
Granted it is a spec investment but with John Malone's Liberty backing and global partnerships that are being formed it may be the biggest winner longterm from these leveles...
The ITV field is very young and won't mature before 2007-2010:

EPS($) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year Consensus
1999A (0.25) (0.16) (0.11) (0.18) (0.70) -
2000E (0.12)A (0.14)A (0.17)A (0.22) (0.63) (0.61)
Prev2001E (0.22) (0.21) (0.13) (0.12) (0.68) -
2001E (0.22) (0.20) (0.12) (0.11) (0.65) (0.58)
Prev2002E - - - - 0.00 -
2002E - - - - 0.02 (0.16)
Prev 2003E - - - - 0.34 -
2003E - - - - 0.37 0.44
Prev 2004E - - - - 1.05 -
2004E - - - - 1.10 N/A
Quarters may not add to year due to rounding and changes in share
count.

Rev($mil) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year
1999A 0.57 0.56 0.60 1.18 2.91
2000E 1.39A 1.65A 2.79A 2.61 8.45
Prev2001E 2.99 4.04 5.73 6.94 19.69
2001E 4.68 6.64 8.47 9.90 29.69
Prev2002E - - - - 57.50
2002E - - - - 71.50
Prev2003E - - - - 111.20
2003E - - - - 129.82
Prev 2004E - - - - 205.30
2004E - - - - 229.33
E = Estimate, A = Actual



To: Benny Baga who wrote (515)3/8/2001 6:11:03 PM
From: Benny Baga  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 589
 
Just my thoughts on the major players in ITV...Revised

Company......Cap/Revs.....Growth.Rate(est.)

WGAT..........7x.Revs.....100%+
GMST..........13x.Revs....40%+
OPTV..........15x.Revs....100%+
LBRT..........26x.Revs....90%+
IATV..........41x.Revs....90%+

To do the calculation I used trailing 12 months of revenues
and current market cap.

GMST looks well position and doesn't appeared to be
overvalued. It is very clear why this is a favorite among
institutions (size + strength) and a fair valuation. One
drawback of GMST is that they are limited to the IPG, and
for the most part are not involved in Internet TV or the
Full Motion Ad space. Although they have eBooks (but that
is a different market).

Worldgate still seems to have the most upside potential,
based on multiple and growth rate. In addition, comparison
to OPTV, the WGAT market has much more potential (OPTV =
Sat. and WGAT = Cable), although OPTV is trying to enter
the Cable market.

IATV seems the most overpriced and the most risky.

Benny(IMHO)