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To: timers who wrote (72398)2/27/2001 2:55:22 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 436258
 
that really has to be looked at on a case by case basis...but generally speaking THEN you should see a general commodities price decline, excepting gold, which is a traditional hedge against collapsing fiat systems.

of course i will retain an open mind regarding the deflation/inflation debate...some argue that a fiat system can't have deflation, unless there are exceptional circumstances (a la Japan)...i'm not dismissing their arguments completely. we need to carefully watch developments and adapt constantly. and use trailing stops on dogs like BS! -g-

as to what else, another depressed area are ag commodities...soybeans look ready to go imo. look at a long term chart...they have recently tested LT support. in soybeans you can even trade the crush margin spread, since meal and oil trade separately. i remember i used to go long the products and short the beans when the spread hit 10, and vice versa when it hit 50...haven't looked at this in quite a while though, the historical parameters may have shifted.