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To: Michael Watkins who wrote (72710)	2/28/2001 11:13:54 AM
From: pater tenebrarum	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 436258

the people who didn't 'fight the Fed' in 1930 and 31 (the only comparable post bubble period over the last century) got their heads handed to them. a central bank is powerless to stop the consequences of a bursting bubble. i'm looking for the VIX to at least better the 40 mark before i'm considering the possibility of a low...as mentioned before, the Dow's fibo time rhythm points to a March 14 low for that index...other indices may bottom earlier or later.